Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 28, 2025

Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 misses · all settled

50Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

47.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4 of 4Settlednone still waiting

#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

the Denver Broncos are not winning ten games under nine and a half

Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Over/Unders with Nick Wright
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidAug 28, 2025
GradedAug 7–Oct 9, 2026

1San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins“I'm gonna go with one that I think you could take the Niners under ten and a half.”
2Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins“I'm gonna go Bengals under nine and a half”
3Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7 wins“If you wanna, if you wanna step up here, make it eight and we go on different sides... Yeah, sure deal”
4Denver Broncos to finish with 9 wins“the Denver Broncos are not winning ten games under nine and a half”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins¹	Season Win Totals	12	0	0	0
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins²	Season Win Totals	6	100	100	0
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7 wins³	Season Win Totals	7	100	85	+30
Denver Broncos to finish with 9 wins⁴	Season Win Totals	14	0	5	−10
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled			50	47.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 47.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins

under 10.5They said

12What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Season Win Totals San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins
What happened12called under 10.5
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
7.25
skill:
0
what happened:
12
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
0 to 10
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
under 10.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Season Win Totals Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins
What happened6called under 9.5
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
naive:
8.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
0 to 9
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
under 9.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Season Win Totals Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7 wins
What happened7called 7
100Hit · naive 85
100this call85a naive guess15better than naive2difficulty+30skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
naive:
7.75
skill:
30
what happened:
7
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
they said:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
4Season Win Totals Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos to finish with 9 wins
What happened14called 9
0Miss · naive 5
0this call5a naive guess−5worse than naive2difficulty−10skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
naive:
9.25
skill:
−10
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
5
they said:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 47.5

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.
Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 83
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Detroit Lions · Miss 0
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.
Danny Parkins · Season Win Totals · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.
Jason McIntyre · Season Win Totals · Atlanta Falcons · Hit 100
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre backed the Michael Penix-led Falcons to clear eight wins, citing a soft road schedule, and argued Alabama's Jalen Milroe will be selected in the first round of the NFL draft despite some analysts grading them as a Day 3 prospect.