Evan SilvaJul 31, 2020
In their 2020 fantasy defense/special teams rankings, Silva puts the Steelers first, the 49ers second and the Ravens third, citing pass rush, favorable early schedules and game scripts.
Published in writing · Establish The RunRead the original
What Evan Silva said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromTier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)
- Where it was published
- Establish The Run
- The piece
- Evan Silva’s D/ST Rankings and Tiers | Establish The Run
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJul 31, 2020
- GradedOct 9, 2026
- 1Baltimore Ravens defense to finish 3rd among fantasy defenses“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
- 2Pittsburgh Steelers defense to finish 1st among fantasy defenses“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
- 3San Francisco 49ers defense to finish 2nd among fantasy defenses“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens defense to finish 3rd among fantasy defenses1 | Fantasy Defense Calls | Ranked #5 | 83.33 | 8.33 | +150 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers defense to finish 1st among fantasy defenses2 | Fantasy Defense Calls | Ranked #1 | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| San Francisco 49ers defense to finish 2nd among fantasy defenses3 | Fantasy Defense Calls | Ranked #20 | 0 | 66.67 | −133.33 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 61.1 | 25 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 3 fantasy defense calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 61.1 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Fantasy Defense CallsBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens defense to finish 3rd among fantasy defenses
What happenedRanked #5called #383.33Hit · naive 8.3383.33this call−8.33a naive guess=75better than naive×2difficulty=+150skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- finishes mid-pack (16)
- scope:
- season
- skill:
- 150
- season:
- 2020
- scoring:
- standard D/ST
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 8.33
- actual rank:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 17
- predicted rank:
- 3
- defenses ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
2Fantasy Defense CallsPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers defense to finish 1st among fantasy defenses
What happenedRanked #1called #1100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- finishes mid-pack (16)
- scope:
- season
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2020
- scoring:
- standard D/ST
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- actual rank:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 17
- predicted rank:
- 1
- defenses ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
3Fantasy Defense CallsSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers defense to finish 2nd among fantasy defenses
What happenedRanked #20called #20Miss · naive 66.670this call−66.67a naive guess=−66.67worse than naive×2difficulty=−133.33skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- finishes mid-pack (16)
- scope:
- season
- skill:
- −133.33
- season:
- 2020
- scoring:
- standard D/ST
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 66.67
- actual rank:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 17
- predicted rank:
- 2
- defenses ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
61.1naive 25
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 100
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Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 93
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
More fantasy defense calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jacob Herlin · Fantasy Defense Calls · Cleveland Browns · Hit 100
Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter.Jake Ciely · Fantasy Defense Calls · Kansas City Chiefs · Hit 92
Seeley caps Kendrick Bourne as no more than a fantasy WR4, expects Adonai Mitchell to be the clear No. 2 in their passing game once healthy, believes Jordan Tyson should take over the No. 2 receiver role on talent, and names the Chiefs their top fantasy defense for Week 6 against the turnover-prone Chargers.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Defense Calls · Kansas City Chiefs · Hit 92
Fitzmaurice expects Woody Marks to have the Texans backfield to themselves and handle the vast majority of carries while David Montgomery is out, likes Jaleel McLaughlin's chance to lead the Browns backfield given the injuries there, sees Kendrick Bourne as Arizona's clear No. 2 receiver after the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade, and thinks Jordan Tyson is more likely to return in Week 9 than Week 7. They also call the Chiefs far and away the best streaming defense.Andrew Erickson · Fantasy Defense Calls · Kansas City Chiefs · Waiting
In his Week 2 'Beyond the Waiver Wire' column, Erickson makes a long series of buy/sell/add calls on individual players (sleepers vs. busts), plus a few specific role, availability and outlook predictions — notably that Jahmyr Gibbs scores again Thursday night, that Drew Lock remains Seattle's starter, and that Kenneth Walker III leads the NFL in rushing yards.Fox Sports · Fantasy Defense Calls · Cincinnati Bengals · Waiting
FOX Sports Research's Week 1 daily fantasy column names its favorite DFS values at each position — Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Saquon Barkley, Ashton Jeanty, Justin Jefferson, Chris Olave, Tetairoa McMillan and Trey McBride — plus the Bengals as a cheap punt defense, arguing each will outproduce their FanDuel salary.Derek Brown · Fantasy Defense Calls · Cincinnati Bengals · Waiting
Brown predicts Jordan Mason tops 1,000 rushing yards, picks the Bengals and Cowboys to reach the Super Bowl with top-12 fantasy defenses, and touts Parker Washington, Christian Watson, Casey Concepcion, Dontavion Wicks, Malik Willis, Jordan Love and Tyler Shuck as values while souring on Brian Thomas Jr.'s early season.