Evan Silva· Jul 31, 2020
In his 2020 fantasy defense/special teams rankings, Silva puts the Steelers first, the 49ers second and the Ravens third, citing pass rush, favorable early schedules and game scripts.
“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
published in writing · Establish The Run · read the original (as archived Aug 5, 2020) → · live page (has changed since this capture)
3 checkable claims — 3 fantasy defense calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 52.8 out of 100, against 36.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
2They said
19What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy Defense CallsSan Francisco 49ersJul 31, 2020
San Francisco 49ers defense to finish 2nd among fantasy defenses
“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 75-150 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- finishes mid-pack (16)
- scope:
- season
- skill:
- -150
- season:
- 2020
- scoring:
- standard D/ST
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 75
- actual rank:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 17
- predicted rank:
- 2
- defenses ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Fantasy Defense CallsBaltimore RavensJul 31, 2020
Baltimore Ravens defense to finish 3rd among fantasy defenses
“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 33.33+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- finishes mid-pack (16)
- scope:
- season
- skill:
- 50
- season:
- 2020
- scoring:
- standard D/ST
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 33.33
- actual rank:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 17
- predicted rank:
- 3
- defenses ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Fantasy Defense CallsPittsburgh SteelersJul 31, 2020
Pittsburgh Steelers defense to finish 1st among fantasy defenses
“Tier One: Steelers (DST1) > 49ers (DST2) > Ravens (DST3)”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- finishes mid-pack (16)
- scope:
- season
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2020
- scoring:
- standard D/ST
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- actual rank:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 17
- predicted rank:
- 1
- defenses ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Richie BradshawScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 83Bradshaw picks the 49ers to beat the Cardinals in their Week 3 matchup, predicting a final score of 27-14 in San Francisco's favor.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
More fantasy defense calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Andrew EricksonFantasy Defense Calls · Kansas City ChiefsPendingIn his Week 2 'Beyond the Waiver Wire' column, Erickson makes a long series of buy/sell/add calls on individual players (sleepers vs. busts), plus a few specific role, availability and outlook predictions — notably that Jahmyr Gibbs scores again Thursday night, that Drew Lock remains Seattle's starter, and that Kenneth Walker III leads the NFL in rushing yards.
- Fox SportsFantasy Defense Calls · Cincinnati BengalsPendingFOX Sports Research's Week 1 daily fantasy column names its favorite DFS values at each position — Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Saquon Barkley, Ashton Jeanty, Justin Jefferson, Chris Olave, Tetairoa McMillan and Trey McBride — plus the Bengals as a cheap punt defense, arguing each will outproduce his FanDuel salary.
- Steve KrebsFantasy Defense Calls · Houston TexansPendingIn a standard-scoring mock draft from the 12th slot, Krebs projects big seasons for James Cook and Chase Brown, breakouts from DeVonta Smith, Colston Loveland, Parker Washington and Quentin Johnston, a top-five fantasy finish for Dak Prescott, and a top-two fantasy defense in Houston.
- Derek BrownFantasy Defense Calls · Dallas CowboysPendingBrown predicts Jordan Mason tops 1,000 rushing yards, picks the Bengals and Cowboys to reach the Super Bowl with top-12 fantasy defenses, and touts Parker Washington, Christian Watson, Casey Concepcion, Dontavion Wicks, Malik Willis, Jordan Love and Tyler Shuck as values while souring on Brian Thomas Jr.'s early season.
- Nathan JahnkeFantasy Defense Calls · Los Angeles RamsPendingPFF's redraft fantasy defense rankings place the Los Angeles Rams as the No. 1 fantasy defense, crediting offseason additions for turning their defense into an elite unit.
- Steve KrebsFantasy Defense Calls · New England PatriotsPendingIn a 12-team PPR mock draft write-up, Krebs makes several forward-looking calls: Brock Bowers rebounding past 100 catches, Bhayshul Tuten leading Jacksonville's backfield and finishing top-15, Jadarian Price serving as Seattle's bell cow, MarShawn Lloyd stepping into a starting role, the Patriots D/ST finishing top-five, kicker Harrison Mevis landing in the top 10, and upside bench picks Jaylin Noel and Malik Washington climbing their depth charts.