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Greg OlsenAug 27, 2025

Olsen picked Philadelphia as the best roster top to bottom, the clear-cut NFC favorite and their Super Bowl pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Greg Olsen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I still think until someone shows me a better roster top to bottom than Philadelphia, I still think they're the team to be, especially in the NFC.
Greg Olsen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
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The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 27, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“Obviously, Philadelphia looks like to run away, you know, at least clear cut favorite to start the season in the NFC.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl“Your Super Bowl prediction. Let's go, Greg... I still think until someone shows me a better roster top to bottom than Philadelphia, I still think they're the team to be, especially in the NFC.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
2 calls · 2 misses · all settled00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked PHI
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked PHI
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.