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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 13, 2025

Colin laid out their final 2025 NFL division-by-division predictions: Bills, Ravens, Texans and Broncos winning AFC divisions with Patriots, Bengals and Chiefs as AFC playoff teams; Eagles, Packers, Buccaneers and Seahawks winning NFC divisions with Commanders, Lions and Rams as NFC playoff teams. They also called the Patriots their most improved team and Seattle their shocker, and said Shedeur Sanders will start for Cleveland and Jordan Love will start Week 1.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

9 of 22calls landed9 hits · 3 close calls · 10 misses · 2 waiting
51.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 22 calls
41.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
22 of 24Settled2 still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

So the Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Seahawks are the division winners.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - NFL Standings Predictions, Brian Baldinger
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 13, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Division Winners3050
Power Rankings2310
Depth Chart Calls2000
Playoff Picks2040
Surprise Team Calls0002
All93102

How each call scored

24 checkable claims — 8 division winners, 6 playoff picks, 6 power rankings, 2 depth chart calls and 2 surprise team calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

22 of 24 have settled so far, averaging 51.4 out of 100, against 41.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners3 hits · 5 missesShow ▸
  1. Green Bay Packers to win the division

    “the more I look at Green Bay. They love their first round pick the more I like the Packers ... So the Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Seahawks are the division winners.”

    Green Bay Packers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Houston Texans to win the division

    “So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”

    Houston Texans

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    “that's an Eagles division ... So the Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Seahawks are the division winners.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “AFC East Bills are going to win it. ... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “Baker Mayfield playing with more maturity. I'm going to take them to win the division again”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    “I'm gonna put Seattle. This is my shocker. I think Seattle is gonna win the division.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Denver Broncos to win the division

    “AFC West. I am flipping the Broncos and the Chargers. ... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos now winning their divisions.”

    Denver Broncos

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
Power Rankings2 hits · 3 close calls · 1 missShow ▸
  1. “NFC North Major change, Green Bay... The Lions, I'm dropping them to second... So I am taking the Bears from second to third, the Lions from first to second.”

    Minnesota Vikings

    25Miss

    25 − 0 naive = 25 × 2 difficulty = +50 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. “I am going to move the Jags into the second spot... I'm gonna put them at second, Titans, third, Colts, fourth”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    75Close

    75 − 100 naive = −25 × 2 difficulty = −50 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −50
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. “I'll move the Niners from fourth to third... I think Seattle is gonna win the division... Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”

    San Francisco 49ers

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. “The East remains the same. Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys.”

    70Close

    70 − 90 naive = −20 × 2 difficulty = −40 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    70
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. “we go to the AFC North. It's going to stay the same. Bengals... Ravens are the best operation... Steelers have not been impressive... Cleveland ... probably finished fourth”

    70Close

    70 − 90 naive = −20 × 2 difficulty = −40 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    70
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. “AFC East Bills are going to win it. Patriots are my most improved team... Dolphins coming out now... The Jets, I just structurally I have no idea their fourth”

    90Hit

    90 − 40 naive = 50 × 2 difficulty = +100 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    40
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls2 hitsShow ▸
  1. Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Shadur is going to start. Mark my word”

    Shedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 2 difficulty = +16.67 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Jordan Love to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Do not worry about Jordan Love's non throwing hand. He will start Week one”

    Jordan LoveGreen Bay Packers

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jordan Love
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks2 hits · 4 missesShow ▸
  1. Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    “Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams. Patriots Bengals new playoff teams”

    New England Patriots

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs

    “the easiest pick in the NFL this year for a team that didn't make the playoffs last year and will this year is Cincinnati”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    CIN
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    “Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    “Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”

    Detroit Lions

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    “Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”

    Washington Commanders

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Seattle Seahawks to beat expectations

    “I'm gonna put Seattle. This is my shocker.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. New England Patriots to beat expectations

    “Patriots are my most improved team in the NFL. Will be a wild team.”

    New England Patriots

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.