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Ryan Tracy· Feb 23, 2026

Running a draft simulator for the Chiefs, Tracy selected and defended a haul of Caleb Downs at No. 9, offensive tackle Monroe Freleng at 40, running back Jadirion Price at 74, defensive tackle Grayson Holt at 109, and slot receiver Kevin Coleman later on. He also expects Tacan Thornton (or at minimum JuJu Smith-Schuster) to be back with Kansas City.

“he was the top rated guy on the board, so I grabbed him.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 37 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
109They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksGrayson HoltKansas City ChiefsFeb 23, 2026

    Grayson Holt to be picked at number 109

    “they do come back and get a defensive lineman in the fourth at one zero nine ... The highest pass production defensive tackle in this draft is Grayson Holt.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Grayson Holt
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    109
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingKansas City ChiefsFeb 23, 2026

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 40

    “you turn around and take an offensive tackle at 40 ... But Monroe Freleng is is a guy that is climbing up boards fast”

    Close · 40Scored 40.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    40.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    40.26
    predicted pick:
    40
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJadarian PriceKansas City ChiefsFeb 23, 2026

    Jadarian Price to be picked at number 74

    “you come back and you get Jadirion Price, his running mate at Notre Dame at 74”

    Miss · 16Scored 16.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Jadarian Price
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    16.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    32
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    16.21
    predicted pick:
    74
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsKansas City ChiefsFeb 23, 2026

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9

    “Starts off, Caleb Downs. ... he was the top rated guy on the board, so I grabbed him.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsTyquan ThorntonKansas City ChiefsFeb 23, 2026

    Tyquan Thornton to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    “I'm banking on Taycan Thornton probably coming back. If not, JuJu Smith Schuster for sure.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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