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Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 19, 2026

In a Week 2 start/sit column, Derek Brown gave lineup advice on running backs, including a prediction that the 49ers would blow out the Dolphins.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

49ers 35–13What happenedDolphins at 49ers

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

#12Derek Brown’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Derek Brown said

Black will likely see a similar workload in Week 2 as I expect the 49ers to blow out the Dolphins, which means Black will get plenty of garbage time usage.

Our reading: San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins

Where it was published: FantasyPros
The piece: Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice: Running Backs (Week 2)
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 19
PlayedSep 20
GradedSep 21

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins
What happened49ers 35–13Dolphins at 49ers
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 6 in 7 (86%).
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
13-35
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Dolphins at 49ers49ers 35Dolphins 1314 calls →

Who this take is about

San Francisco 49ers

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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