Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 25, 2025

In their first mock draft for 2025, Frelund has the Titans taking Travis Hunter first overall rather than a quarterback, and Shedeur Sanders going ninth to the Saints; they also say their simulations have Hunter off the board no later than third overall.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting
48Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#45Cynthia Frelund’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Cynthia Frelund said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.
Cynthia Frelund, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode
The Favorites - NFL Combine, Draft and Analytics with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 25, 2025
  2. GradedOct 1, 2026
  1. 1Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9“Cynthia, you had Sanders ninth I think going to the Saints”
  2. 2Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1“the Titans. They're better served, at least at this point, getting a bridge quarterback with one of the free agents and then potentially taking in my mock Travis Hunter. He's the most dynamic player, the one that's worth that first pick overall.”
  3. 3Travis Hunter to be picked “no later than third overall”“Travis Hunter comes off the board no later than third overall in eighty one percent of one million simulations.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 91Mock Draft PicksWent 1440.2950+50
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 12Mock Draft PicksWent 295.7650+50
Travis Hunter to be picked “no later than third overall”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting4850

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 48 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
9They said
144What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersNew Orleans Saints

    Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 144mocked at 9
    0.29Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.29
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.29
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterTennessee Titans

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 1
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksTravis Hunter

    Travis Hunter to be picked “no later than third overall”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    48naive 50

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these