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Brady Quinn#85 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 12, 2025

Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. They also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if they come out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if they have the year Quinn expects.

Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · all settled
34.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#85Brady Quinn’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Brady Quinn said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I actually would put them at one.
Brady Quinn, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 1: Brady Quinn & Anthony Gargano – AP Poll Top 5
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Arch Manning to be picked at number 1“if he does what he we think he's going to do, and he wants to come out after this next year, he probably will be the first overall pick”
  2. 2Kadyn Proctor to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)“you've got legitimate All Americans in Caden Procter at tackle. He's going to be a first round pick.”
  3. 3Drew Allar to be picked at number 1“I think if Alor has the year he's gonna have, he'll be he'll he'll he'll be the top pick.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Arch Manning to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050—
Kadyn Proctor to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)2Mock Draft PicksWent 1210050—
Drew Allar to be picked at number 13Mock Draft PicksWent 763.8850—
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · all settled34.650

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 34.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksArch Manning

    Arch Manning to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 1
    0Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arch Manning
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksKadyn Proctor

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 12
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksDrew Allar

    Drew Allar to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 76mocked at 1
    3.88Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Drew Allar
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    3.88
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    76
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    3.88
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    34.6naive 50

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