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Dylan SandersApr 24, 2026

Hosting a live 2026 first-round reaction show, Sanders said Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to the Raiders was the heavily expected outcome, and before the Commanders' pick was announced they insisted it had to be Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles at No. 7.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Dylan Sanders said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It's got it's gotta be Sonny Styles. Right? I mean, it has to be.
Dylan Sanders, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Saints (podcast)
The episode
SAINTS SQUAD SHOW: Reacting LIVE To New Orleans Saints FIRST ROUND PICK in 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidApr 23
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“it's not it's not a 100 confirmed that the Las Vegas fans are taking Fernando Mendoza, but it is the highly expected outcome, at one overall”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7“Well, the commander's pick is still in... It's got it's gotta be Sonny Styles. Right? I mean, it has to be.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+50
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 72Mock Draft PicksWent 710050+50
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesWashington Commanders

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

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