Mike Renner#28 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026
Brenner made several draft-stock calls after the Senior Bowl: Pitt linebacker Kyle Lewis inside the top 100, Garrett Nussmeier as the third quarterback drafted, Malachi Fields as a top-50 pick, Caleb Proctor as a Day 3 pass rusher, Sonny Styles as a top-10 pick, and Jermod McCoy running in the low 4.4s or high 4.3s.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original
What Mike Renner said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI would bet that he comes off the board at quarterback three after that performance.
- Where it was said
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)
- The episode
- 2026 NFL Mock Draft: What We Would Do For EVERY 1st-Round Pick | Shrine & Senior Bowl Biggest Risers
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 3
- GradedAug 13–14
- 1Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)“I think Sonny Styles is likely gonna be a top 10 pick in this draft class after he tests because he could run the four threes.”
- 2Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“Strong linebacker class, I would bet he is somewhere in the top 100 picks after that tape.”
- 3Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board“I would bet that he comes off the board at quarterback three after that performance.”
- 4Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)“So those two things, that ability to accelerate, the ability to attack the football, I would bet after this, he's a top 50 pin.”
- 5Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine“But if he comes and works out, and I think he's gonna run-in a low four fours low or high four threes”
- 6Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”“Probably not gonna get into the top 100 because he's only two seventy five, but a nice intriguing day three pass rusher.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 7 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 138 | 19.28 | 50 | — | |
| Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board3 | Position Order Calls | — | 8.84 | 33.08 | −24.24 | |
| Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)4 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 74 | 35.36 | 50 | — | |
| Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine5 | Combine Measurements | — | — | — | — | |
| Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”6 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · 2 waiting | 40.9 | 45.8 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks, 1 combine measurement and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 40.9 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
What happenedWent 7100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Mock Draft PicksKyle LouisPittsburgh Steelers
Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 13819.28Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kyle Louis
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 19.28
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 138
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 19.28
- predicted pick:
- top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Position Order CallsGarrett Nussmeier
Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board
VerdictMiss8.84Miss · naive 33.088.84this call−33.08a naive guess=−24.24worse than naive×1difficulty=−24.24skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
- skill:
- −24.24
- player:
- Garrett Nussmeier
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 8.84
- baseline:
- 33.08
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 10
- predicted order:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Mock Draft PicksMalachi Fields
Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)
What happenedWent 7435.36Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Malachi Fields
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 35.36
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 74
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 35.36
- predicted pick:
- top 50 pin (picks 1–50)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
5Combine MeasurementsJermod McCoy
Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Mock Draft PicksKaleb Proctor
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
40.9naive 45.8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.