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Mike Renner#28 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026

Brenner made several draft-stock calls after the Senior Bowl: Pitt linebacker Kyle Lewis inside the top 100, Garrett Nussmeier as the third quarterback drafted, Malachi Fields as a top-50 pick, Caleb Proctor as a Day 3 pass rusher, Sonny Styles as a top-10 pick, and Jermod McCoy running in the low 4.4s or high 4.3s.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · 2 waiting
40.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
45.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 6Settled2 still waiting
#28Mike Renner’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Renner said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I would bet that he comes off the board at quarterback three after that performance.
Mike Renner, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
2026 NFL Mock Draft: What We Would Do For EVERY 1st-Round Pick | Shrine & Senior Bowl Biggest Risers
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 3
  2. GradedAug 13–14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)“I think Sonny Styles is likely gonna be a top 10 pick in this draft class after he tests because he could run the four threes.”
  2. 2Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“Strong linebacker class, I would bet he is somewhere in the top 100 picks after that tape.”
  3. 3Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board“I would bet that he comes off the board at quarterback three after that performance.”
  4. 4Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)“So those two things, that ability to accelerate, the ability to attack the football, I would bet after this, he's a top 50 pin.”
  5. 5Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine“But if he comes and works out, and I think he's gonna run-in a low four fours low or high four threes”
  6. 6Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”“Probably not gonna get into the top 100 because he's only two seventy five, but a nice intriguing day three pass rusher.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)1Mock Draft PicksWent 710050—
Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)2Mock Draft PicksWent 13819.2850—
Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board3Position Order Calls—8.8433.08−24.24
Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)4Mock Draft PicksWent 7435.3650—
Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine5Combine Measurements————
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”6Mock Draft Picks————
6 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · 2 waiting40.945.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks, 1 combine measurement and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 40.9 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 10 pick (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksKyle LouisPittsburgh Steelers

    Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)

    What happenedWent 138
    19.28Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kyle Louis
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    19.28
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    138
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    19.28
    predicted pick:
    top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Position Order CallsGarrett Nussmeier

    Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board

    VerdictMiss
    8.84Miss · naive 33.08
    8.84this call33.08a naive guess−24.24worse than naive1difficulty−24.24skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
    skill:
    −24.24
    player:
    Garrett Nussmeier
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    8.84
    baseline:
    33.08
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    10
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksMalachi Fields

    Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)

    What happenedWent 74
    35.36Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Malachi Fields
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    74
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    35.36
    predicted pick:
    top 50 pin (picks 1–50)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Combine MeasurementsJermod McCoy

    Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Mock Draft PicksKaleb Proctor

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    40.9naive 45.8

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