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Mike Renner· Feb 3, 2026

Brenner made several draft-stock calls after the Senior Bowl: Pitt linebacker Kyle Lewis inside the top 100, Garrett Nussmeier as the third quarterback drafted, Malachi Fields as a top-50 pick, Caleb Proctor as a Day 3 pass rusher, Sonny Styles as a top-10 pick, and Jermod McCoy running in the low 4.4s or high 4.3s.

“I would bet that he comes off the board at quarterback three after that performance.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks, 1 combine measurement and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 40.9 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 10 pick (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesFeb 3, 2026

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    “I think Sonny Styles is likely gonna be a top 10 pick in this draft class after he tests because he could run the four threes.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksKyle LouisPittsburgh SteelersFeb 3, 2026

    Kyle Louis to be picked “top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)

    “Strong linebacker class, I would bet he is somewhere in the top 100 picks after that tape.”

    Miss · 19Scored 19.28a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kyle Louis
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    19.28
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    138
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    19.28
    predicted pick:
    top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Position Order CallsGarrett NussmeierFeb 3, 2026

    Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board

    “I would bet that he comes off the board at quarterback three after that performance.”

    Miss · 9Scored 8.84a naive guess scored 33.08-24.24 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
    skill:
    -24.24
    player:
    Garrett Nussmeier
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    8.84
    baseline:
    33.08
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    10
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksMalachi FieldsFeb 3, 2026

    Malachi Fields to be picked “top 50 pin” (picks 1–50)

    “So those two things, that ability to accelerate, the ability to attack the football, I would bet after this, he's a top 50 pin.”

    Miss · 35Scored 35.36a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Malachi Fields
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    74
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    35.36
    predicted pick:
    top 50 pin (picks 1–50)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksKaleb ProctorFeb 3, 2026

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked “day three”

    “Probably not gonna get into the top 100 because he's only two seventy five, but a nice intriguing day three pass rusher.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Combine MeasurementsJermod McCoyTennessee TitansFeb 3, 2026

    Jermod McCoy to post low four fours low or high four threes at the combine

    “But if he comes and works out, and I think he's gonna run-in a low four fours low or high four threes”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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