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Mitchell Eisenstein#62 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 9, 2026

Mitchell picked the Lions to beat the Saints at home, 34-24.

Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

79Close · out of 100
Lions 31–30What happenedcalled Lions by 10 · won by 1
96.35A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
78.57This callout of 100
#62Mitchell Eisenstein’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mitchell Eisenstein said

But I got the Detroit Lions winning 34 to 24 over the New Orleans Saints.
Our reading: Detroit Lions 34 — New Orleans Saints 24
The episode
The Richard Sherman Podcast - Week 1 NFL PREDICTIONS w/ Julian Edelman: Patriots vs. Seahawks, 49ers vs. Rams, Cowboys
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 9
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 78.6 out of 100, against 96.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions 34 — New Orleans Saints 24

    What happenedLions 31–30called Lions by 10 · won by 1
    78.57Close · naive 96.35
    78.57this call96.35a naive guess−17.78worse than naive2difficulty−35.56skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Lions by 7, total 49.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and more points (58).

    How this was scored
    score:
    30-31
    skill:
    −35.56
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    96.35
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    −0.53
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

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