Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 2, 2026
Rosenthal took the Texans, Steelers, Chargers, Bills, Broncos and Colts overs in their AFC over/under draft, agreed with the Ravens over, projected the Browns as a three-or-four-win team and the Patriots at about 10 wins, and floated Akeem Mesidor as a sneaky Defensive Rookie of the Year and Patrick Mahomes as MVP.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
I'm buying this team as a real deal Super Bowl contender, so I don't care about the schedule over nine and a half for the Texans.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- 2026 AFC Win Totals Draft with Nick Wright
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Too vague | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | |
| Award Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Playoff Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| All | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 |
How each call scored
13 claims — 10 season win totals, 2 award picks and 1 playoff pick — the 9 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of the 9 calls we can check have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
The other 4 were too vague to check, so they are not graded.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Season Win Totals6 waiting · 4 too vague to checkShow ▸Hide ▾
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 8–9 wins
“I'm going Colts over seven and a half... Ultimately, I think their mean season is eight or nine wins.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Cleveland Browns to finish with 3–4 wins
“so i feel like this is a three or four win team”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“That feels like the right number, and 10 feels about right.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tennessee Titans to finish with 5–6 wins
“And they, I think five and 12, six and 11 would be fine.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“That's not wrecking my board. It's on my board... I would have taken it today... But I'm on the same side of you there.”
—Too vague to checkToo vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
“I'm going Texans over nine and a half as my team.”
—Too vague to checkToo vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9–10 wins
“So I think they'll find their way to get to nine or 10 wins.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“I'm going the other side over, by the way, I don't care about you thinking they're off the board.”
—Too vague to checkToo vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
“and I went over on the Broncos. I'm with you... I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team”
—Too vague to checkToo vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
“But ultimately, I think 12 is about where I see this team... And I feel good about over 10 and a half.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Award Picks2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
“You're, you're, you're making me, you know, you're, you're helping maybe push me to go in. I think I just, people love a narrative. My home's MVP this year.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Akheem Mesidor to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“I do think Akeem Mesidor is like a sneaky defensive rookie of the year.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Playoff Picks1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team, and you win, you're over.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Indianapolis Colts, Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, New England Patriots, Tennessee Titans, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans, Akheem Mesidor, Los Angeles Chargers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Denver Broncos, Buffalo Bills
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks.Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · San Francisco 49ers · Miss 0
Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Miss 0
Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East.Danny Parkins · Season Win Totals · Las Vegas Raiders · Miss 0
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.