Gregg Rosenthal· Sep 2, 2026
Rosenthal took the Texans, Steelers, Chargers, Bills, Broncos and Colts overs in his AFC over/under draft, agreed with the Ravens over, projected the Browns as a three-or-four-win team and the Patriots at about 10 wins, and floated Akeem Mesidor as a sneaky Defensive Rookie of the Year and Patrick Mahomes as MVP.
“I'm buying this team as a real deal Super Bowl contender, so I don't care about the schedule over nine and a half for the Texans.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims — 10 season win totals, 2 award picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.
Where this call stands in the room
Buffalo Bills · 2026 season · wins7 calls from 4 pundits between 10 wins and 12 wins. Gregg Rosenthal said 12 wins. the room's median is 11 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the record
Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosSep 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team, and you win, you're over.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsBuffalo BillsSep 2, 2026
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
“But ultimately, I think 12 is about where I see this team... And I feel good about over 10 and a half.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersSep 2, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9–10 wins
“So I think they'll find their way to get to nine or 10 wins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles ChargersSep 2, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins
“I'm going the other side over, by the way, I don't care about you thinking they're off the board.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Season Win TotalsBaltimore RavensSep 2, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to finish with ? wins
“That's not wrecking my board. It's on my board... I would have taken it today... But I'm on the same side of you there.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Season Win TotalsHouston TexansSep 2, 2026
Houston Texans to finish with ? wins
“I'm going Texans over nine and a half as my team.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 2, 2026
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“That feels like the right number, and 10 feels about right.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsCleveland BrownsSep 2, 2026
Cleveland Browns to finish with 3–4 wins
“so i feel like this is a three or four win team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksPatrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsSep 2, 2026
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
“You're, you're, you're making me, you know, you're, you're helping maybe push me to go in. I think I just, people love a narrative. My home's MVP this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosSep 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to finish with ? wins
“and I went over on the Broncos. I'm with you... I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Akheem Mesidor to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“I do think Akeem Mesidor is like a sneaky defensive rookie of the year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsIndianapolis ColtsSep 2, 2026
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 8–9 wins
“I'm going Colts over seven and a half... Ultimately, I think their mean season is eight or nine wins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsTennessee TitansSep 2, 2026
Tennessee Titans to finish with 5–6 wins
“And they, I think five and 12, six and 11 would be fine.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Miami DolphinsHit · 80Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Detroit LionsHit · 100Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen.
- Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.