Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 30, 2025

Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 20calls landed7 hits · 5 close calls · 8 misses · 1 waiting · 2 too vague to check

46Average accuracyout of 100, across 20 calls

56.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

20 of 23Settled1 still waiting · 2 too vague to check

#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

The Eagles are the best team in football. The Eagles aren't over team.

Danny Parkins, the lead quote

Where it was said: The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode: Hour 2 - NFL predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJul 30, 2025
GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting	Too vague
Season Win Totals	7	5	5	0	1
Trade and Signing Calls	0	0	1	0	0
Division Winners	0	0	1	0	0
Seeding, Byes and Home Field	0	0	1	0	0
Player Season Numbers	0	0	0	0	1
Surprise Team Calls	0	0	0	1	0
All	7	5	8	1	2

How each call scored

23 claims — 18 season win totals, 1 division winner, 1 player season number, 1 seeding, byes and home field, 1 surprise team call and 1 trade and signing call — the 21 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

20 of the 21 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 56.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The other 2 were too vague to check, so they are not graded.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins

over 8.5They said

10What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Season Win Totals7 hits · 5 close calls · 5 misses · 1 too vague to checkShow ▸

Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“Mike Tomlin's gonna get you to over eight and a half”
Pittsburgh Steelers
10called over 8.5
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
9.25
skill:
0
what happened:
10
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
9 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 8.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins
“the Raiders go over on six and a half”
Las Vegas Raiders
3called over 6.5
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
−200
what happened:
3
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
7 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 6.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
“Over at nine and a half”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8called over 9.5
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
−200
what happened:
8
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
10 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 9.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
“The Giants are an over team for me at five and a half”
New York Giants
4called over 5.5
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
0
what happened:
4
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
6 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 5.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
“the Falcons get over on seven and a half wins”
Atlanta Falcons
8called over 7.5
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
8.25
skill:
0
what happened:
8
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
8 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 7.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“I'm definitely picking them for over at ten and a half... That's still an eleven or twelve win team.”
Detroit Lions
9called 11
60Close
60 − 45 naive = 15 × 2 difficulty = +30 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
30
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
they said:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 7 wins
“that's an under... For them at nine and a half... win seven eight games”
Minnesota Vikings
9called 7
60Close
60 − 55 naive = 5 × 2 difficulty = +10 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
they said:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to finish with 8 wins
“The Packers are under at nine and a half... I think it's more like an eight win season for the Packers.”
Green Bay Packers
9called 8
80Hit
80 − 85 naive = −5 × 2 difficulty = −10 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
9.75
skill:
−10
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
they said:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins
“I think the Falcons are an overteam, same with the Panthers... They can win seven games.”
Carolina Panthers
8called 7
80Hit
80 − 75 naive = 5 × 2 difficulty = +10 skill
How this was scored
team:
CAR
naive:
6.75
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
75
they said:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 13 wins
“They're a thirteen win team until proven otherwise.”
Kansas City Chiefs
6called 13
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
they said:
13
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 11 wins
“The Rams have won over ten games in six of the eight years with Sean McVay... I just can't quit the Rams”
Los Angeles Rams
12called 11
80Hit
80 − 45 naive = 35 × 2 difficulty = +70 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
naive:
9.25
skill:
70
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
45
they said:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 10 wins
“then Ravens under eleven and a half... I think that they can be a ten win team”
Baltimore Ravens
8called 10
60Close
60 − 55 naive = 5 × 2 difficulty = +10 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
naive:
10.25
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
they said:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins
“They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Chicago Bears
11called 9
60Close
60 − 15 naive = 45 × 2 difficulty = +90 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
90
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
15
they said:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 12 wins
“The Eagles aren't over team. They're totals at eleven and a half”
Philadelphia Eagles
11called 12
80Hit
80 − 95 naive = −15 × 2 difficulty = −30 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
−30
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
95
they said:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
“Bills are a clear overteam at eleven and a half.”
Buffalo Bills
12called 12
100Hit
100 − 75 naive = 25 × 2 difficulty = +50 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
10.75
skill:
50
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
they said:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins
“Bengals are double did you win team.”
Cincinnati Bengals
6called 10
20Miss
20 − 45 naive = −25 × 2 difficulty = −50 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
naive:
8.75
skill:
−50
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
45
they said:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Tennessee Titans to finish with 6 wins
“I think they hit their over on five and a half wins... I think they can eke out six wins.”
Tennessee Titans
3called 6
40Close
40 − 45 naive = −5 × 2 difficulty = −10 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
naive:
5.75
skill:
−10
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
45
they said:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
“This is an over for the Chargers.”
Los Angeles Chargers
—Too vague to check
Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Think this is wrong?

Trade and Signing Calls1 missShow ▸

Alvin Kamara to move
“I think they are a prime trade candidate. I hope Alvin Kamara does not finish the season with the Saints.”
Alvin Kamara
Ended up with NO
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
−200
player:
Alvin Kamara
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
NO
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
NO
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Division Winners1 missShow ▸

Buffalo Bills to win the division
“No one's caught up to them in this division... the biggest favorite to win a division of any team in the NFL”
Buffalo Bills
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?

Seeding, Byes and Home Field1 missShow ▸

Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
“Buffalo is odds on favorite to be the one seed in the AFC”
Buffalo Bills
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
visitor
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (host)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Player Season Numbers · 1 too vague to checkShow ▸

“And Bryce Young continues to progress.”
Bryce Young Carolina Panthers
—Too vague to check
Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Think this is wrong?

Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸

Chicago Bears to beat expectations
“If just a few things go right, the amount of upgrades that they had... The Bears will be better. They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Chicago Bears
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Dallas Cowboys · Miss 0
Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Cleveland Browns · Hit 100
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.