Danny Parkins· Jul 30, 2025

Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.

“The Eagles are the best team in football. The Eagles aren't over team.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

23 checkable claims — 18 season win totals, 1 division winner, 1 player season number, 1 seeding, byes and home field, 1 surprise team call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

20 of 23 have settled so far, averaging 52 out of 100, against 54.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

23 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Trade and Signing Calls Alvin KamaraJul 30, 2025
Alvin Kamara to move
“I think they are a prime trade candidate. I hope Alvin Kamara does not finish the season with the Saints.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
player:
Alvin Kamara
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
NO
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
NO
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsJul 30, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“No one's caught up to them in this division... the biggest favorite to win a division of any team in the NFL”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Seeding, Byes and Home Field Buffalo BillsJul 30, 2025
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
“Buffalo is odds on favorite to be the one seed in the AFC”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
visitor
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (host)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Detroit LionsJul 30, 2025
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“I'm definitely picking them for over at ten and a half... That's still an eleven or twelve win team.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
30
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Tampa Bay BuccaneersJul 30, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
“Over at nine and a half”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Minnesota VikingsJul 30, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 7 wins
“that's an under... For them at nine and a half... win seven eight games”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Green Bay PackersJul 30, 2025
Green Bay Packers to finish with 8 wins
“The Packers are under at nine and a half... I think it's more like an eight win season for the Packers.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
9.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Las Vegas RaidersJul 30, 2025
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins
“the Raiders go over on six and a half”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 35-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
35
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Carolina PanthersJul 30, 2025
Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins
“I think the Falcons are an overteam, same with the Panthers... They can win seven games.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
CAR
naive:
6.75
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
75
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Kansas City ChiefsJul 30, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 13 wins
“They're a thirteen win team until proven otherwise.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
13
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Los Angeles RamsJul 30, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 11 wins
“The Rams have won over ten games in six of the eight years with Sean McVay... I just can't quit the Rams”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 45+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
naive:
9.25
skill:
70
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Baltimore RavensJul 30, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 10 wins
“then Ravens under eleven and a half... I think that they can be a ten win team”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
naive:
10.25
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Chicago BearsJul 30, 2025
Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins
“They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
90
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
15
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Philadelphia EaglesJul 30, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 12 wins
“The Eagles aren't over team. They're totals at eleven and a half”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 95-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
95
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Atlanta FalconsJul 30, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
“the Falcons get over on seven and a half wins”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
8.25
skill:
10
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Buffalo BillsJul 30, 2025
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
“Bills are a clear overteam at eleven and a half.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
10.75
skill:
50
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New York GiantsJul 30, 2025
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
“The Giants are an over team for me at five and a half”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 65-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
65
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Cincinnati BengalsJul 30, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins
“Bengals are double did you win team.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 45-50 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
naive:
8.75
skill:
-50
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
45
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Pittsburgh SteelersJul 30, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“Mike Tomlin's gonna get you to over eight and a half”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
9.25
skill:
-10
what happened:
10
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Tennessee TitansJul 30, 2025
Tennessee Titans to finish with 6 wins
“I think they hit their over on five and a half wins... I think they can eke out six wins.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 45-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
naive:
5.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
45
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Bryce Young Carolina PanthersJul 30, 2025
Bryce Young to record ? an unstated measure
“And Bryce Young continues to progress.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Los Angeles ChargersJul 30, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins
“This is an over for the Chargers.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Chicago BearsJul 30, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat expectations
“If just a few things go right, the amount of upgrades that they had... The Bears will be better. They're a nine or a ten win team this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.

Who this take is about

23 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More season win totals

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