Lane MillsOct 18, 2026
Mills predicts the Titans will lose on the road to the Colts in Week 6 by a score of 27-17, with Tennessee scoring more than their three points from Week 5 but still extending their losing streak.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Lane Mills said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromPrediction: Titans lose, 27-17
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Why the Titans Will Beat the Colts in Week 6, Why They Won't, and a Prediction
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 17
- PlayedOct 18
- GradedOct 18
- 1Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans“In an AFC South-bound duel tomorrow, I unfortunately anticipate the losing streak to continue.”
- 2Indianapolis Colts 27 — Titans 17“Prediction: Titans lose, 27-17”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans1 | Game Outcome Picks | Titans 26–20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Indianapolis Colts 27 — Titans 172 | Score Predictions | Titans 26–20 | 40.48 | 35.71 | +8.19 | |
| 2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 20.2 | 17.9 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 2 have settled, averaging 20.2 out of 100, against 17.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans
What happenedTitans 26–20Titans at Colts0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.72difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TEN
- score:
- 26-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
2Score PredictionsIndianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts 27 — Titans 17
What happenedTitans 26–20called Colts by 10 · lost by 640.48Close · naive 35.7140.48this call−35.71a naive guess=4.77better than naive×1.72difficulty=+8.19skillClosing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Colts win (by 10) and more points (44).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 26-20
- skill:
- 8.19
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 35.71
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 10
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
20.2naive 17.9
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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