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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 30, 2026

Dajani picked the Steelers to beat the Browns 26-21, citing Pittsburgh's home dominance in the series.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

62Close · out of 100
Steelers 27–6What happenedcalled Steelers by 5 · won by 21
51.13A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
61.9This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

That home dominance played a major role in Dajani's pick, as he sided with the Steelers in a 26-21 battle.
Our reading: Pittsburgh Steelers 26 — Browns 21
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 8 picks: Experts split on Ravens vs. Bills as Lamar Jackson eyes return
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 30
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 1

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 61.9 out of 100, against 51.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers 26 — Browns 21

    What happenedSteelers 27–6called Steelers by 5 · won by 21
    61.9Close · naive 51.13
    61.9this call51.13a naive guess10.77better than naive1.61difficulty+17.35skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5, total 38.5 · this 26–21 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 5) and more points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    17.35
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    61.9
    baseline:
    51.13
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    5
    Think this is wrong?

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