Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 19, 2025
Rosenthal picked the Chargers to beat the Cowboys outright (possibly by around 12), the Lions to beat the Steelers (while taking Pittsburgh +7), and the Bills to blow out the Browns in Cleveland; they also sided with the Packers over the Bears.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think the Cowboys will find a way to lose this game, and I think the Chargers will figure out a way to win it.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 16 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidDec 19, 2025
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cowboys“I think the Cowboys will find a way to lose this game, and I think the Chargers will figure out a way to win it... you might get to sit back and enjoy like a twelve point win for this game”
- 2Detroit Lions to beat Steelers“I picked the Lions to win on our show game debut, so I got to go by by that... I think this would be a good win for the Lions.”
- 3Buffalo Bills to beat Browns“I have the Bills minus ten and a half in Cleveland... This would be like an Eagles Raiders situation where they're winning this game by twenty five thirty points.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cowboys1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +117 | |
| Detroit Lions to beat Steelers2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Buffalo Bills to beat Browns3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +117 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 66.7 | 0 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cowboys
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.17difficulty=+117skillClosing line (Dec 21): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chargers 47%, Cowboys 53%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAC
- score:
- 34-17
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
2Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions to beat Steelers
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.17difficulty=0skillClosing line (Dec 21): Lions by 7.5 · favorite pick, Lions 78%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 29-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
3Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Browns
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.17difficulty=+117skillClosing line (Dec 21): Bills by 10.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 4 in 5 (82%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 23-20
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 0
Who this take is about
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More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
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Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.