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Sam Monson· Oct 29, 2026

Monson expects the Bengals to beat the Titans comfortably at home, and expects Jacksonville to roll over a Colts team that is selling off players. He also sees New England handling Miami fairly easily and Dallas beating Arizona.

“They should win this game pretty comfortably, and the more impressive they can look doing that, the better obviously for them.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 29, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Miami

    “their bounced back after the rough start to the season, I think looks legit, and I would expect them to fairly easily handle Miami.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysOct 29, 2026

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona

    “it's a team that Dallas should roll against... Gonna go with Dallas to win and cover. Same.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 29, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Titans

    “Like, they're they're the better team on both sides of the ball. They should win this game pretty comfortably”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 29, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts

    “Jacksonville is now significantly better on both sides of the ball. You would expect them to roll.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    7-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%).

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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