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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 2, 2025

Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting
47.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
70.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 6Settled1 still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Sometimes like sloppy games have a lot of points and that that's how this feels to me. Forty one to twenty seven
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Dark Energy Predictions, NFL Kickoff and Brazil Game Previews!
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 2, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
  1. 1Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins“I unfortunately drafted them as like one of my you know, top over underpicks with Nick Wright, to go over seven and a half. I just thought, and I still think, like it's possible.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles 41 — Cowboys 27“Sometimes like sloppy games have a lot of points and that that's how this feels to me. Forty one to twenty seven, just like or thirty eight to you know, twenty seven, something like that, where it's very high scoring.”
  3. 3Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart“I wouldn't be surprised Jacksons Dart is starting like week two... So I think it's going to be a Jackson Darts season”
  4. 4New York Giants to finish with 6 wins“as long as he has some promise, they could win six games and be happy this year”
  5. 5Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs“I still had the Cowboys in a spot where like they had have a chance to make the playoffs that I still think they could make the playoffs.”
  6. 6New York Giants to beat expectations“I'm on the other side of this though... I have them as one of my teams. I think, will you know, win more than expected... I just think they'll be frisky”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins1Season Win Totals7000
Philadelphia Eagles 41 — Cowboys 272Score Predictions—76.1995.3−38.23
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+16.67
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins4Season Win Totals46065−10
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs5Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs0100−200
New York Giants to beat expectations6Surprise Team Calls————
6 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting47.270.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 2 season win totals, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 score prediction and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 47.2 out of 100, against 70.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins
over 7.5They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins

    What happened7called over 7.5
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    naive:
    7.75
    skill:
    0
    what happened:
    7
    scored:
    hit or miss on the line
    season:
    2025
    window:
    8 to 17
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    over
    they said:
    over 7.5
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles 41 — Cowboys 27

    VerdictClose
    76.19Close · naive 95.3
    76.19this call95.3a naive guess−19.11worse than naive2difficulty−38.23skill

    Closing line (Sep 4): Eagles by 8.5, total 47.5 · this 41–27 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 14) and more points (68).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-24
    skill:
    −38.23
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    95.3
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsJaxson DartNew York Giants

    Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Season Win TotalsNew York Giants

    New York Giants to finish with 6 wins

    What happened4called 6
    60Close · naive 65
    60this call65a naive guess−5worse than naive2difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    naive:
    5.75
    skill:
    −10
    what happened:
    4
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    60
    baseline:
    65
    they said:
    6
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Playoff PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Surprise Team CallsNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    47.2naive 70.4

Who this take is about

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