Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 28, 2025

Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 6calls landed2 hits · 4 misses · all settled

30Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls

49.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

6 of 6Settlednone still waiting

#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

It is the Indianapolis Colt. Let's go under.

Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Over/Unders with Nick Wright
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidAug 28, 2025
GradedAug 7–Oct 9, 2026

1New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins“I'm taking Saints under five and a half before anyone else does”
2Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins“The Ravens over eleven and a half doesn't take a lot of guts, but I do think they'll they'll get there.”
3Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins“I'll vote Commanders under nine and a half.”
4New York Giants to finish with 6 wins“The Giants over five and a half takes the little guts, but I do believe in it.”
5Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins“going Bears under for the fourth straight year, even though I do think they will be better eight and a half”
6Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins“It is the Indianapolis Colt. Let's go under.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins¹	Season Win Totals	6	0	100	−200
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins²	Season Win Totals	8	0	100	−200
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins³	Season Win Totals	5	100	0	+200
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins⁴	Season Win Totals	4	0	0	0
Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins⁵	Season Win Totals	11	0	0	0
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins⁶	Season Win Totals	8	80	95	−30
6 calls · 2 hits · 4 misses · all settled			30	49.2

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 30 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins

under 5.5They said

6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Season Win Totals New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins
What happened6called under 5.5
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
6.75
skill:
−200
what happened:
6
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
0 to 5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
under 5.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Season Win Totals Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins
What happened8called over 11.5
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
naive:
10.25
skill:
−200
what happened:
8
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
12 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 11.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Season Win Totals Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins
What happened5called under 9.5
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
200
what happened:
5
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
0 to 9
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
under 9.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
4Season Win Totals New York Giants
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
What happened4called over 5.5
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
0
what happened:
4
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
6 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 5.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
5Season Win Totals Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins
What happened11called under 8.5
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
0
what happened:
11
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
0 to 8
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
under 8.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
6Season Win Totals Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins
What happened8called 7
80Hit · naive 95
80this call95a naive guess−15worse than naive2difficulty−30skill
How this was scored
team:
IND
naive:
8.25
skill:
−30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
95
they said:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
30naive 49.2

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Cleveland Browns · Hit 100
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · San Francisco 49ers · Miss 0
Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Kansas City Chiefs · Miss 0
Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East.
Danny Parkins · Season Win Totals · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.