Jared Dubin· Sep 10, 2026
Dubin picks the Rams, Texans, Ravens, Bengals, Packers, Cowboys and Broncos in Week 1 with exact scores, and says the Rams are his pick to win the Super Bowl this season.
“The Rams are, unsurprisingly, my pick to win the Super Bowl this season.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
8 checkable claims — 7 score predictions and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 46.9 out of 100, against 45.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- 49ers at Rams 37 calls
- Buccaneers at Bengals 31 calls
- Ravens at Colts 24 calls
- Bills at Texans 46 calls
- Packers at Vikings 42 calls
- Cowboys at Giants 42 calls
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosSep 10, 2026
Denver Broncos 21 — Chiefs 20
“Prediction: Broncos 21, Chiefs 20”
Miss · 2Scored 2.38a naive guess scored 51.93-99.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- -99.11
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 2.38
- baseline:
- 51.93
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 0.81
- predicted margin:
- 1
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysSep 10, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Giants 20
“Prediction: Cowboys 31, Giants 20”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 79.68-73.65 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-28
- skill:
- -73.65
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 79.68
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 11
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersSep 10, 2026
Green Bay Packers 30 — Vikings 27
“Prediction: Packers 30, Vikings 27”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 58.25-83.17 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-39
- skill:
- -83.17
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 58.25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansSep 10, 2026
Houston Texans 20 — Bills 17
“Prediction: Texans 20, Bills 17”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 36.83+16.83 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 36-31
- skill:
- 16.83
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 36.83
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensSep 10, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Colts 14
“Prediction: Ravens 30, Colts 14”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 5.87+178.73 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 41-23
- skill:
- 178.73
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 5.87
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 16
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsSep 10, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Buccaneers 21
“Prediction: Bengals 27, Buccaneers 21”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 84.44+31.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-33
- skill:
- 31.11
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 84.44
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 6
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsSep 10, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 31 — 49ers 21
“Prediction: Rams 31, 49ers 21”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 0+52.38 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-7
- skill:
- 52.38
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 26.19
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -8.5
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 10, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“The Rams are, unsurprisingly, my pick to win the Super Bowl this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
- Matt HarmonScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Marcus RayScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.
- Ryan LaVoyScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 17LaVoy predicted a 28-10 Buccaneers win over the Browns, said even the Falcons would beat Cleveland, and named Detroit, Baltimore and the Rams as teams he expects in the playoffs.