Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 29, 2025

Guest-hosting The Herd, Parkins counted down their top ten NFL teams heading into the season, with the Eagles first and the Chargers tenth. They also predicted the Chargers return to the playoffs, the Chiefs return to the Super Bowl, ranked Justin Herbert as the fifth-best quarterback in football, described Shedeur Sanders as fourth on Cleveland's QB depth chart, and said they'd be floored if the Colts moved on from Anthony Richardson.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 6calls landed1 hit · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled

52Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls

75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

6 of 6Settlednone still waiting

#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

If the explosiveness can return to the Chiefs offense, I expect them back in the Super Bowl.

Danny Parkins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode: Hour 2 - The top 10 NFL teams
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJul 29, 2025
GradedAug 5–Sep 25, 2026

1Anthony Richardson to be cut“I will be floored if the Colts move off of Anthony Richardson, cut him, trade him for a mid round pick, whatever it would be, because I think they believe in the talent”
2Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl“If the explosiveness can return to the Chiefs offense, I expect them back in the Super Bowl.”
3Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards“Explain to me why Justin Herbert isn't the fifth best quarterback in football because he passes my beautiful eye test.”
4Power Rankings“we will begin with my top ten teams heading in to the upcoming football season... Number ten, it's the Chargers of Los Angeles... Number nine the Washington Commanders... Number eight the San Francisco forty nine ers... Cincinnati Bengals [number seven]... Number six... this Rams team... Number five... Baltimore Ravens... Number four... the Bills... The Detroit Lions come in at number three... Number two the Kansas City Chiefs... Number one the Philadelphia Eagles”
5Shedeur Sanders to be 4th on the depth chart“I am fourth on a bad quarterback depth chart for a bad organization... because if you're fourth on that depth chart, you're a long ways away from actually playing meaningful football in the NFL”
6Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs“The Chargers. I expect them back in the playoffs”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Anthony Richardson to be cut¹	Roster Spot Calls	6 weeks on a 53	0	100	−200
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl²	Conference Champions	NE and SEA won	0	0	0
Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards³	Positional Finishes	Finished #9	66.67	100	−66.67
“we will begin with my top ten teams heading in to the upcoming…”⁴	Power Rankings	—	70.24	58.33	+23.81
Shedeur Sanders to be 4th on the depth chart⁵	Depth Chart Calls	No. 1	75	91.67	−33.33
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs⁶	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	100	0
6 calls · 1 hit · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled			52	75

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 positional finish, 1 power ranking and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 52 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Roster Spot Calls Anthony Richardson Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Richardson to be cut
What happened6 weeks on a 53
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
−200
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2025
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
6
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Conference Champions Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked KC
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
3Positional Finishes Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
What happenedFinished #9called #5 · by passing yards
66.67Close · naive 100
66.67this call100a naive guess−33.33worse than naive2difficulty−66.67skill
How this was scored
skill:
−66.67
player:
Justin Herbert
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
9
actual finish:
9
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
5
Think this is wrong?
4Power Rankings San Francisco 49ers
“we will begin with my top ten teams heading in to the upcoming football season... Number ten, it's the Chargers of Los Angeles... Number nine the Washington Commanders... Number eight the San Francisco forty nine ers... Cincinnati Bengals [number seven]... Number six... this Rams team... Number five... Baltimore Ravens... Number four... the Bills... The Detroit Lions come in at number three... Number two the Kansas City Chiefs... Number one the Philadelphia Eagles”
VerdictClose
70.24Close · naive 58.33
70.24this call58.33a naive guess11.91better than naive2difficulty+23.81skill
How this was scored
skill:
23.81
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70.24
baseline:
58.33
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
8
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
5Depth Chart Calls Shedeur Sanders Cleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be 4th on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 4 · by passing yards
75Close · naive 91.67
75this call91.67a naive guess−16.67worse than naive2difficulty−33.33skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
−33.33
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
6Playoff Picks Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
52naive 75

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More conference champions

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Chris Brockman · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.