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Parker HurleyAug 15, 2026

Hurley says Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams and Romello Height are certain to make the 49ers' roster, while the fourth edge spot remains unsettled.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Parker Hurley said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams and Romello Height are locks to make the team.
Parker Hurley, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
5 Biggest Preseason Questions That Still Need Answers
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 15
  2. GradedSep 25–Oct 11
  1. 1Mykel Williams to make the roster“Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams and Romello Height are locks to make the team.”
  2. 2Nick Bosa to make the roster“Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams and Romello Height are locks to make the team.”
  3. 3Romello Height to make the roster“Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams and Romello Height are locks to make the team.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Mykel Williams to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls1 week on a 531001000
Nick Bosa to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Romello Height to make the roster3Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531000+200
3 calls · 3 hits · all settled10066.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened1 week on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Mykel Williams
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    5
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Nick Bosa
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Romello Height
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 66.7

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.