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Chris Broussard#77 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026

Broussard took Tampa Bay over Cincinnati as their upset alert, predicted a 34-17 Cowboys win over the Giants, and had picked Dak Prescott as MVP.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
14.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
89.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#77Chris Broussard’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Broussard said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm going with Buccaneers The over the Bengals.
Chris Broussard, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
49ers beat Rams, Bills vs. Texans preview, Matt Leinart joins, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks for Week 1
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 11
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals“I'm going with Buccaneers The over the Bengals.”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys 34 — Giants 17“Thirty four seventeen Wow. Cowboys win.”
  3. 3Dak Prescott to win MVP“Greg, KW, and Brew all independently picked Dak Prescott to be the league MVP.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals1Game Outcome PicksBengals 33–270100−200
Dallas Cowboys 34 — Giants 172Score PredictionsGiants 28–2028.5779.68−102.22
Dak Prescott to win MVP3Award Picks————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting14.389.8

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 14.3 out of 100, against 89.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals

    What happenedBengals 33–27Buccaneers at Bengals
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bengals by 3.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers about 1 in 3 (36%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Score PredictionsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys 34 — Giants 17

    What happenedGiants 28–20called Cowboys by 17 · lost by 8
    28.57Miss · naive 79.68
    28.57this call79.68a naive guess−51.11worse than naive2difficulty−102.22skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Cowboys by 3, total 47.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 17) and more points (51).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    −102.22
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    28.57
    baseline:
    79.68
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    −0.53
    predicted margin:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  3. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    14.3naive 89.8

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.