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Nick CrossApr 15, 2025

Cross predicts Cam Ward goes No. 1 overall, that Cleveland will take Abdul Carter for its defense, and that Shedeur Sanders will fall to the Giants, who they think are a good fit for them.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Nick Cross said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think cam Ward will go number one overall, but I think that New York is a good fit for him.
Nick Cross, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Tuesday Hour 2: Will Giants pick Shedeur Sanders? Will Cam Ward be great? NFL Draft stories!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 15, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“I think cam Ward will go number one overall”
  2. 2Shedeur Sanders to be picked “falls to New York”“but I think that should or does end up falling there obviously... but I think that New York is a good fit for him.”
  3. 3Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by Cleveland”“I do think that Cleveland will go and go get that dual Carter to go show up that defense.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cam Ward to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “falls to New York”2Mock Draft Picks————
Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by Cleveland”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCam Ward

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksShedeur Sanders

    Shedeur Sanders to be picked “falls to New York”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterCleveland Browns

    Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by Cleveland”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.