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Greg AumanAug 31, 2026

Auman predicts that Will Levis, released by Tennessee, will almost certainly be claimed on waivers by another team.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Trade and Signing CallsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+200Skillafter difficulty

What Greg Auman said

Tennessee cut Will Levis loose, and he'll almost certainly be claimed on waivers
Our reading: Will Levis to move — “claimed on waivers”
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
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The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 30
  2. GradedSep 23

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Trade and Signing CallsWill Levis

    Will Levis to move — “claimed on waivers”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Will Levis
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    TEN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → NYJ (from TEN)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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