Matty LaneApr 23, 2026
Maddie Lane said Spencer Fano is clearly the first tackle off the board, that the top four players in their mock will be four of the first five picks, that Malik Mohammed goes ahead of Igbunosin, and that Blake Miller would beat out Jalen Moore for the Chiefs' starting job.
Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original
What Matty Lane said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.
- Where it was said
- KC Sports Network (podcast)
- The episode
- KC Laboratory 4/22: Predicting Every Chiefs Pick in the 2026 NFL Draft
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 22
- GradedOct 1
- 1Spencer Fano to be 1st tackle off the board“it seems like he's pretty clearly the NFL's idea of the first tackle to come off the board”
- 2Arvell Reese to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”“I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.”
- 3Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart“he is the guy that has the most experience that could step in right away and compete and probably beat out Jalen Moore for a starting job”
- 4Malik Muhammad to be drafted ahead of Davison Igbunosin“I think we ultimately came down to Malik Mohammed probably goes earlier because he is the better athlete”
- 5Fernando Mendoza to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”“I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.”
- 6Jeremiyah Love to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”“I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.”
- 7David Bailey to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”“I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Fano to be 1st tackle off the board1 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 17.05 | +82.95 | |
| Arvell Reese to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”2 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Malik Muhammad to be drafted ahead of Davison Igbunosin4 | Prospect vs Prospect Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”5 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Jeremiyah Love to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”6 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| David Bailey to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”7 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 1 hit · 6 waiting | 100 | 17.1 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive7 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks, 1 depth chart call, 1 position order call and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 17.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
1Position Order CallsSpencer FanoCleveland Browns
Spencer Fano to be 1st tackle off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 17.05100this call−17.05a naive guess=82.95better than naive×1difficulty=+82.95skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 20 at random averages 17.05
- skill:
- 82.95
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 17.05
- position:
- tackle
- class size:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Arvell Reese to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Depth Chart CallsBlake MillerKansas City Chiefs
Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Prospect vs Prospect CallsMalik Muhammad
Malik Muhammad to be drafted ahead of Davison Igbunosin
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah Love
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Bailey to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
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Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.