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Dan Patrick#80 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 28, 2025

Discussing the Giants' options at No. 3, Dan Patrick said Cam Ward would be the first quarterback taken in the draft, with Shedeur Sanders the next quarterback off the board.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
62.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
30.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#80Dan Patrick’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Dan Patrick said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.
Dan Patrick, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
HR 1 - NFL Combine, Ohtani is unique
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 28, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board“More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.”
  2. 2Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board“More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board1Position Order Calls—2537.51−12.51
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board2Position Order Calls—10024.2+75.8
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled62.530.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 30.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
2They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Position Order CallsShedeur Sanders

    Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board

    VerdictMiss
    25Miss · naive 37.51
    25this call37.51a naive guess−12.51worse than naive1difficulty−12.51skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 37.51
    skill:
    −12.51
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    37.51
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    6
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsCam Ward

    Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 24.2
    100this call24.2a naive guess75.8better than naive1difficulty+75.8skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
    skill:
    75.8
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    24.2
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    62.5naive 30.9

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.