Meko ScottOct 4, 2026
Picks the Lions to roll past Carolina, 38-21.
Published in writingRead the original
What Meko Scott said
Meko Scott (3-0): Lions 38-21
- The piece
- NFL Week 4 expert picks, score predictions: Lions at Panthers
- The original
- Read the original
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- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 4
- PlayedOct 4
- GradedOct 5
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 23.8 out of 100, against 88.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions 38 — Panthers 21
What happenedPanthers 32–26called Lions by 17 · lost by 623.81Miss · naive 88.123.81this call−88.1a naive guess=−64.29worse than naive×1.83difficulty=−117.64skillClosing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 38–21 calls a bigger Lions win (by 17) and more points (59).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 26-32
- skill:
- −117.64
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 88.1
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 1
- predicted margin:
- 17
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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More score predictions
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Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.