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Eric Crocker· Mar 6, 2026

Crocker grades Chris Bell as a third-round talent rather than a first-rounder, and expects Caleb Douglas to be projected around the late third round.

“But I I saw more third round pick than first round pick.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third round, late third round (picks 65–100)They said
75What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksCaleb DouglasMar 6, 2026

    Caleb Douglas to be picked “third round, late third round” (picks 65–100)

    “if the 49er drafted him third round, late third round or something with a comp pick, because that's where he's, you know, protected to go, I I wouldn't be mad at that at all”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Douglas
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    75
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    third round, late third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksChris BellMar 6, 2026

    Chris Bell to be picked “third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    “But I I saw more third round pick than first round pick.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Chris Bell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    94
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    third round pick (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More mock draft picks

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