Chris Brockman· Oct 27, 2025
Brockman doubled down that the Ravens will win the AFC North, named Jonathan Taylor the NFL's MVP, locked in his seven NFC playoff teams with the Eagles as the NFC East's lone qualifier, and predicted Justin Fields will be the Jets' starting quarterback in 2026.
“Ravens are gonna win the AFC North.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
11 checkable claims — 7 playoff picks, 2 division winners, 1 award pick and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 11 have settled, averaging 63.6 out of 100, against 44.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
11 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersPhiladelphia EaglesOct 27, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“the a and NFC East is only getting one playoff team, and it's the Philadelphia Eagles”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- yes
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensOct 27, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“Ravens are gonna win the AFC North. They are gonna win the AFC North, Rich.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- no
- Playoff PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 27, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 161
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 27, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 161
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis ColtsOct 27, 2025
Jonathan Taylor to win MVP
“Jonathan Taylor is the MVP of the NFL through eight weeks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 27, 2025
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“The NFC playoffs are locked. These are the seven teams we're gonna see in January... Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksPhiladelphia EaglesOct 27, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksDetroit LionsOct 27, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 27, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 27, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Depth Chart CallsJustin FieldsNew York JetsOct 27, 2025
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
“Justin Fields is gonna be the Jets' starting quarterback in 2026.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+13.42 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYJ
- skill:
- 13.42
- player:
- Justin Fields
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 11
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Craig StoutPlayoff Picks · Kansas City ChiefsMiss · 0Craig believes better execution from a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team will be enough to return them to the playoffs in the coming season, and he expects Tyler Algeier to land with Denver as a complement to RJ Harvey.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Minnesota VikingsMiss · 0Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen gave his Week 13 power rankings, with the Rams first, Patriots second and the Cowboys entering at No. 10, and also named New England and Philadelphia as the first teams to clinch playoff spots, picked Seattle to beat Minnesota, and tabbed Drake Maye as an MVP finalist and Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year.