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Cody KesslerFeb 28, 2025

Kessler endorsed the quarterback pecking order of Cam Ward first and Shedeur Sanders second, with Jackson Dart as their third quarterback, while noting they aren't locked in on Dart at three.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
65.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
30.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Cody Kessler said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Everyone's talking about cam Ward and Shador standers one and two rightfully. So after that, I have Jackson Dart kind of sitting in that third spot.
Cody Kessler, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Friday Hour 1: Combine Winners, Upcoming Performances, and Peter's Trivia!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 28, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board“After that, I have Jackson Dart kind of sitting in that third spot, but really four through seven is wide open, and even three I'm not solidifying Dart at three.”
  2. 2Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board“everyone's talking about cam Ward and Shador standers one and two rightfully”
  3. 3Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board“everyone's talking about cam Ward and Shador standers one and two rightfully”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board1Position Order Calls—70.7129.17+41.54
Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board2Position Order Calls—2537.51−12.51
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board3Position Order Calls—10024.2+75.8
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled65.230.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 65.2 out of 100, against 30.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
3They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Position Order CallsJaxson Dart

    Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board

    VerdictClose
    70.71Close · naive 29.17
    70.71this call29.17a naive guess41.54better than naive1difficulty+41.54skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 29.17
    skill:
    41.54
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    29.17
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsShedeur Sanders

    Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board

    VerdictMiss
    25Miss · naive 37.51
    25this call37.51a naive guess−12.51worse than naive1difficulty−12.51skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 37.51
    skill:
    −12.51
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    37.51
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    6
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Position Order CallsCam Ward

    Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 24.2
    100this call24.2a naive guess75.8better than naive1difficulty+75.8skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
    skill:
    75.8
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    24.2
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    65.2naive 30.3

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.