Colin Cowherd· Jan 24, 2025
Cowherd picked the Eagles to beat the Commanders 34-24 in the NFC Championship Game and the Bills to beat the Chiefs 28-27 in the AFC Championship Game, adding that the winner of Bills-Chiefs wins the Super Bowl and that he's been on Buffalo to win it all. He also expects Buffalo and Kansas City to be playoff teams again next season.
“I'm going to take the Bills to win a close game outright... twenty eight to twenty seven.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks, 2 score predictions, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 55.7 out of 100, against 87.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Nick Bosa to move to Los Angeles Chargers
“I think the Chargers are going to move off a couple that are more expensive. I think Bosa could be moved”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Nick Bosa
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAC
- was with:
- SF
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SF
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsJan 24, 2025
Buffalo Bills 28 — Chiefs 27
“so I'm going to take the Bills to win a close game outright. You know it's gonna be close, drama filled twenty eight to twenty seven.”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 98.28-53.04 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 29-32
- skill:
- -53.04
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 98.28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
- Score PredictionsPhiladelphia EaglesJan 24, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles 34 — Commanders 24
“I like Philadelphia to win thirty four to twenty four.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 23-55
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsJan 24, 2025
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“I like Buffalo twenty eight to twenty seven... I'm going Bills.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 100-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI,KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
- Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesJan 24, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“I like Philadelphia to win thirty four to twenty four. I think it could get a little ugly.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI,KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- yes
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Super Bowl PicksBuffalo BillsJan 24, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl
“But I've been on the Bills for a month to win the Super Bowl. The winner of this game, in my opinion, hoist the Lombardi Trophy.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsJan 24, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“My safest prediction in the NFL next year, beyond Buffalo and Kansas City, if Mahomes and Josh Allen or upright will be playoff teams”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsJan 24, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“My safest prediction in the NFL next year, beyond Buffalo and Kansas City, if Mahomes and Josh Allen or upright will be playoff teams”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris BrockmanConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
- Damonza ByrdConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · Denver BroncosClose · 50Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
- AJ HawkConference Champions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
- Derek MurphyConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.