Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 24, 2025

Cowherd picked the Eagles to beat the Commanders 34-24 in the NFC Championship Game and the Bills to beat the Chiefs 28-27 in the AFC Championship Game, adding that the winner of Bills-Chiefs wins the Super Bowl and that they've been on Buffalo to win it all. They also expect Buffalo and Kansas City to be playoff teams again next season.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 8calls landed3 hits · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled

55.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls

87.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

8 of 8Settlednone still waiting

#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I'm going to take the Bills to win a close game outright... twenty eight to twenty seven.

Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode: Hour 2 - Colin's Blazin' Picks
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 24, 2025
GradedAug 7–Sep 18, 2026

1Nick Bosa to move to Los Angeles Chargers“I think the Chargers are going to move off a couple that are more expensive. I think Bosa could be moved”
2Buffalo Bills 28 — Chiefs 27“so I'm going to take the Bills to win a close game outright. You know it's gonna be close, drama filled twenty eight to twenty seven.”
3Philadelphia Eagles 34 — Commanders 24“I like Philadelphia to win thirty four to twenty four.”
4Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl“I like Buffalo twenty eight to twenty seven... I'm going Bills.”
5Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“I like Philadelphia to win thirty four to twenty four. I think it could get a little ugly.”
6Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl“But I've been on the Bills for a month to win the Super Bowl. The winner of this game, in my opinion, hoist the Lombardi Trophy.”
7Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs“My safest prediction in the NFL next year, beyond Buffalo and Kansas City, if Mahomes and Josh Allen or upright will be playoff teams”
8Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs“My safest prediction in the NFL next year, beyond Buffalo and Kansas City, if Mahomes and Josh Allen or upright will be playoff teams”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Nick Bosa to move to Los Angeles Chargers¹	Trade and Signing Calls	Ended up with SF	0	100	−200
Buffalo Bills 28 — Chiefs 27²	Score Predictions	—	45.24	98.28	−53.04
Philadelphia Eagles 34 — Commanders 24³	Score Predictions	—	50	50	0
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl⁴	Conference Champions	PHI and KC won	50	100	−50
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl⁵	Conference Champions	PHI and KC won	100	100	0
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl⁶	Super Bowl Picks	PHI won it	0	50	−50
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs⁷	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	100	0
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs⁸	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	100	0
8 calls · 3 hits · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled			55.7	87.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks, 2 score predictions, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 55.7 out of 100, against 87.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Trade and Signing Calls Nick Bosa Los Angeles Chargers
Nick Bosa to move to Los Angeles Chargers
What happenedEnded up with SFcalled LAC
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
skill:
−200
player:
Nick Bosa
season:
2025
claimed:
LAC
was with:
SF
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
SF
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills 28 — Chiefs 27
VerdictClose
45.24Close · naive 98.28
45.24this call98.28a naive guess−53.04worse than naive1difficulty−53.04skill
Closing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5, total 49.5 · this 28–27 calls a Bills win (by 1; the line gave the Bills 48%) and more points (55).
How this was scored
score:
29-32
skill:
−53.04
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
98.28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.28
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles 34 — Commanders 24
VerdictClose
50Close · naive 50
50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
Closing line (Jan 26): Eagles by 6, total 46.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 10) and more points (58).
How this was scored
score:
23-55
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2024
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
32
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.28
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
4Conference Champions Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked BUF
50Close · naive 100
50this call100a naive guess−50worse than naive1difficulty−50skill
How this was scored
skill:
−50
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
50
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI, KC
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
yes
Think this is wrong?
5Conference Champions Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked PHI
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI, KC
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
6Super Bowl Picks Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI won itpicked BUF
0Miss · naive 50
0this call50a naive guess−50worse than naive1difficulty−50skill
How this was scored
skill:
−50
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
champion:
PHI
runner up:
KC
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
7Playoff Picks Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
8Playoff Picks Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once
55.7naive 87.3

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Brockman · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.