Nathan Jahnke#72 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 26, 2026
A PFF fantasy article names five wide receivers — Rashee Rice, Davante Adams, Courtland Sutton, Jakobi Meyers and Wan'Dale Robinson — as players being drafted for past production who should decline and not return value at their consensus ADPs.
Published in writing · Pro Football FocusRead the original
What Nathan Jahnke said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe wide receivers featured in this article are being drafted as though they will replicate their recent production. However, there are legitimate reasons to expect a decline in fantasy output.
- Where it was published
- Pro Football Focus
- The piece
- Fantasy Football: Wide receivers to avoid in 2026 drafts
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)“Davante Adams faces touchdown regression: Adams scored a league-high 14 touchdowns last season, but his receptions and receiving yards per game were his lowest since 2015.”
- 2Carnell Tate to be 1st on the depth chart“The Titans drafted Carnell Tate with the fourth overall pick, and he is expected to play Z and lead the team in targets.”
- 3Jakobi Meyers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 10.09)“Washington has emerged as the team's best receiver, and if he and Hunter are on the field together, that could push Meyers off it.”
- 4Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)“Potential changes to his role, recurring availability concerns and increased competition for targets make Rice difficult to trust at his 3.03 consensus ADP.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)1 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Carnell Tate to be 1st on the depth chart2 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jakobi Meyers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 10.09)3 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)4 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 4 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
4 checkable claims — 3 fantasy bust calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Carnell Tate · 2026 season6 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 2. Nathan Jahnke said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
1Fantasy Bust CallsDavante AdamsLos Angeles Rams
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Depth Chart CallsCarnell TateTennessee Titans
Carnell Tate to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Fantasy Bust CallsJakobi MeyersJacksonville Jaguars
Jakobi Meyers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 10.09)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Fantasy Bust CallsRashee RiceKansas City Chiefs
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Zay Flowers · Miss 0
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Bust Calls · Breece Hall · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Fantasy Bust Calls · Christian McCaffrey · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.