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Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 23, 2026

Dubin picks the 49ers to win straight up on the road against the Falcons in Week 7.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

Falcons 29–20What happened49ers at Falcons

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

Our reading: San Francisco 49ers to beat Falcons

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Caleb Williams wins duel of 2024 NFL Draft QBs; Brewers-Rays World Series opens with a twist
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 23
PlayedOct 25
GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat Falcons
What happenedFalcons 29–2049ers at Falcons
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 58%.
How this was scored
won:
ATL
score:
20-29
skill:
−167
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

49ers at FalconsFalcons 2949ers 2026 calls →

Who this take is about

San Francisco 49ers

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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