Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 7, 2026

Wright picks Seattle to beat New England in the Super Bowl by a 27-17 final score, describing a semi-comfortable win, and names Sam Darnold as their Super Bowl MVP pick.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled

42.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I believe this is a twenty seven seventeen Seahawks victory.

Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
The episode: What’s Wright - Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl Predictions: Sam Darnold vs. Drake Maye, Nick Wright's prop bets | NFL
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidFeb 7
GradedAug 5–Oct 9

1Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP“My Super Bowl MVP pick is gonna be darnald. But that's such a boring one. It's plus one twenty five... but that that is my pick”
2Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 17“I believe this is a twenty seven seventeen Seahawks victory. Not a comfortable, not an easy win, but semi comfortable where Seattle has maybe a twenty four fourteen lead going into the fourth quarter and hangs on for a twenty seven seventeen win.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP¹	Award Picks	Kenneth Walker III won	0	0	0
Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 17²	Score Predictions	—	85.71	16.73	+68.98
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled			42.9	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Award Picks Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP
What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Sam Darnold
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
super_bowl_mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Sam Darnold
season:
2025
who won:
Kenneth Walker III
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 17
VerdictHit
85.71Hit · naive 16.73
85.71this call16.73a naive guess68.98better than naive1difficulty+68.98skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
68.98
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
42.9naive 8.4