Andrew Erickson#30 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 21, 2026

Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting

79.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 4Settled1 still waiting

#30Andrew Erickson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Andrew Erickson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

He's gonna be a fantasy RB one on a team not named the New York Jets.

Andrew Erickson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode: FantasyPros - 2026 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings and Tiers (Ep. 1967)
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidFeb 21
GradedAug 5–Oct 6

1Joe Mixon to move to Houston Texans“the way that things are gonna shake out with Joe Mixon. He's probably gonna get cut from the Texan”
2Breece Hall to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points“So I think he can be a fantasy RB one as long as he's not on the New York Jets”
3Fantasy Rankings“Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]”
4Breece Hall to move“He's I don't think he's gonna play for the Jets.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Joe Mixon to move to Houston Texans¹	Trade and Signing Calls	—	100	0	+200
Breece Hall to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points²	Positional Finishes	Finished #18	50	100	−50
“Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB…”³	Fantasy Rankings	—	87.5	50	+37.5
Breece Hall to move⁴	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting			79.2	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 79.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Trade and Signing Calls Joe Mixon Houston Texans
Joe Mixon to move to Houston Texans
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Joe Mixon
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
HOU
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
signed → SEA
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Positional Finishes Breece Hall
Breece Hall to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #18called #12 · by fantasy points
50Close · naive 100
50this call100a naive guess−50worse than naive1difficulty−50skill
How this was scored
skill:
−50
player:
Breece Hall
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
50
baseline:
100
position:
RB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
18
actual finish:
18
weeks left when called:
0
predicted finish:
12
Think this is wrong?
3Fantasy Rankings
“Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]”
VerdictHit
87.5Hit · naive 50
87.5this call50a naive guess37.5better than naive1difficulty+37.5skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
37.5
placed:
7
season:
2025
players:
8
accuracy:
87.5
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 7: 87.5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
4Trade and Signing Calls Breece Hall
Breece Hall to move
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
79.2naive 50

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Houston Texans · Close 55
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Jared Koch · Game Outcome Picks · Houston Texans · Hit 100
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Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Houston Texans · Hit 81
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Houston Texans · Hit 100
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
Nick Wright · Score Predictions · Houston Texans · Hit 83
Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.
Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.