2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won6 EV · 50.6% · 751,205
Kamala Harris (Democratic)47.5% · 705,197
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 6,059

Donald Trump by 3.1 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · flipped · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Donald Trump 12Kamala Harris 5· 17 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Donald Trump14 picks · won
Kamala Harris7 picks · lost

Every claim about this race (22)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0
Robby Soave: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Ryan Grim: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Seth Keshel: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “I still think it leans towards Harris”
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Clay Travis: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Henry Olsen: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “maybe I'll give them a slight edge”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Daniel Horowitz: an unnamed party wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Too vague to check
Steve Deace: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “There's a good shot that he picks up Nevada”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Spencer Kimball: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “I still think it leans towards Harris”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0
Megyn Kelly: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “seems so far to be leaning Republican”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Logan Phillips: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “modestly favorite”
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0
Cenk Uygur: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “Trump more likely to win there”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “solidly in Trump's camp”
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Hit · 100
Erick-Woods Erickson: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take
Miss · 0