Colin Cowherd· Jun 10, 2025
Cowherd predicts Aaron Rodgers will have a fine but unspectacular 2025 season in Pittsburgh — roughly nine wins, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also predicts Shedeur Sanders will take over as the Browns' starting quarterback by around Week 8, and that a dull Cleveland offense will make Cleveland a four-to-six win team. He expects Sam Darnold to have a 'B' season in Seattle, worse than his Minnesota year.
“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.”
said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 2 season win totals and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 82.3 out of 100, against 79.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
1They said
1What happened
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland BrownsJun 10, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“So my guess is there's a lot of dull, small old Shadour by week eight is starting.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Aaron Rodgers to record 23 passing tds
“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 73.52+36.3 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 20.82
- skill:
- 36.3
- what happened:
- 24
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 73.52
- predicted:
- 23
- statistic:
- passing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 13.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Aaron Rodgers to record 10 passing interceptions
“He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks. He'll be fine.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 62.82-45.64 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 8.6
- skill:
- -45.64
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 62.82
- predicted:
- 10
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 6.2
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersJun 10, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsCleveland BrownsJun 10, 2025
Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins
“If they're dull in the first six weeks because they don't have a very good roster. They're probably a four to six win team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsHit · 100Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston.
- Bryan DeArdoRoster Spot Calls · Drew AllarHit · 100A CBS Sports piece lays out Pittsburgh's quarterback pecking order: Aaron Rodgers starts, Mason Rudolph is the No. 2, rookie Drew Allar sits at No. 3 and Will Howard is fourth, with the Steelers expected to keep all four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster rather than trading Howard.
- Nick PedoneRoster Spot Calls · Isaiah BondHit · 100Previewing the Browns' preseason finale, Pedone says five receivers — Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace — are very likely to make Cleveland's 53-man roster, leaving one final spot open for Luke Floriea and others.
- Jack MarkowskiRoster Spot Calls · Will HowardHit · 100Markowski writes that Howard now appears locked into the 53-man roster, that Pittsburgh is unlikely to move Rudolph, and that Rudolph has the inside track to be the backup behind Aaron Rodgers.
- Nick PedoneRoster Spot Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100Reading the Browns' first depth chart, Pedone projects Deshaun Watson as the Week 1 starting quarterback, lays out the full projected starting offensive line with Parker Brailsford as backup center, expects KT Leveston to make the roster as guard depth, and names Jeudy, Concepcion, Boston and Bond as roster locks with Tylan Wallace as the fifth receiver.
- Kevin PatraRoster Spot Calls · Mason RudolphHit · 100Patra argues the Steelers are increasingly likely to keep four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster, with Mason Rudolph and third-round pick Drew Allar both safe, leaving Will Howard's spot as the only real question.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.
- Daniel JeremiahPlayer Season Numbers · Jihaad CampbellMiss · 0Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.
- Joe MarinoPlayer Season Numbers · Kyle PittsClose · 67Marino argued Kyle Pitts deserves more respect after a good season and expects his touchdown total to keep rising, landing on six touchdowns next season (following the pattern of his yearly totals).
- Tim HasselbeckPlayer Season Numbers · Isaiah LikelyMiss · 0Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter.