Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 10, 2025
Cowherd predicts Aaron Rodgers will have a fine but unspectacular 2025 season in Pittsburgh — roughly nine wins, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also predicts Shedeur Sanders will take over as the Browns' starting quarterback by around Week 8, and that a dull Cleveland offense will make Cleveland a four-to-six win team. He expects Sam Darnold to have a 'B' season in Seattle, worse than his Minnesota year.
Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Colin Cowherd said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.
- Where it was said
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- Stafford > Rodgers?, Shedeur Will Start, Concerns About J.J. McCarthy, Where Does Mickelson Rank All-Time?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJun 9, 2025
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart“So my guess is there's a lot of dull, small old Shadour by week eight is starting.”
- 2Aaron Rodgers to record 23 passing tds“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.”
- 3Aaron Rodgers to record 10 passing interceptions“He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks. He'll be fine.”
- 4Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games”
- 5Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins“If they're dull in the first six weeks because they don't have a very good roster. They're probably a four to six win team.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 100 | 91.67 | +16.67 | |
| Aaron Rodgers to record 23 passing tds2 | Player Season Numbers | 24 | 91.67 | 73.52 | +36.3 | |
| Aaron Rodgers to record 10 passing interceptions3 | Player Season Numbers | 7 | 40 | 62.82 | −45.64 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins4 | Season Win Totals | 10 | 80 | 85 | −10 | |
| Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins5 | Season Win Totals | 5 | 100 | 85 | +30 | |
| 5 calls · 4 hits · 1 close call · all settled | 82.3 | 79.6 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 2 season win totals and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 82.3 out of 100, against 79.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards100Hit · naive 91.67100this call−91.67a naive guess=8.33better than naive×2difficulty=+16.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Player Season NumbersAaron RodgersPittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Rodgers to record 23 passing tds
What happened24called 2391.67Hit · naive 73.5291.67this call−73.52a naive guess=18.15better than naive×2difficulty=+36.3skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 20.82
- skill:
- 36.3
- what happened:
- 24
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 73.52
- they said:
- 23
- statistic:
- passing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 13.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
3Player Season NumbersAaron RodgersPittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Rodgers to record 10 passing interceptions
What happened7called 1040Close · naive 62.8240this call−62.82a naive guess=−22.82worse than naive×2difficulty=−45.64skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 8.6
- skill:
- −45.64
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 62.82
- they said:
- 10
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 6.2
- zero at percent out:
- 50
4Season Win TotalsPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
What happened10called 980Hit · naive 8580this call−85a naive guess=−5worse than naive×2difficulty=−10skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- −10
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 85
- they said:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
5Season Win TotalsCleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins
What happened5called 5100Hit · naive 85100this call−85a naive guess=15better than naive×2difficulty=+30skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- they said:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
82.3naive 79.6
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Discussing Myles Garrett's trade request, Eisen said they expect Garrett to get their way and be moved out of Cleveland rather than stay, which is why staying would be shocking.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Rodgers · Miss 0
Eisen ranked their top five most impressive Pro Bowl campaigns of the season, topped by Sam Darnold, and predicted that Sunday would be Aaron Rodgers' last game with the Jets.Doug Joubert · Score Predictions · Cleveland Browns · Miss 26
Joubert picks the Browns to win 28-17, saying the Saints haven't improved over the first half of the season despite Cleveland starting Shedeur Sanders.Pat McAfee · Game Outcome Picks · Cleveland Browns · Miss 0
McAfee picked the Browns, with Shedeur Sanders starting, to beat the Saints in New Orleans.Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Andrew Erickson · Player Season Numbers · James Cook · Close 67
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.Ross Jackson · Player Season Numbers · Tyler Shough · Miss 4
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.Daniel Jeremiah · Player Season Numbers · Jihaad Campbell · Miss 0
Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.Tim Hasselbeck · Player Season Numbers · Isaiah Likely · Miss 0
Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter.