Tim HasselbeckFeb 19, 2026
Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter.
Said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast)Hear the original
What Tim Hasselbeck said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromKyler Murray is most likely to get released.
- Where it was said
- NFL Live (podcast)
- The episode
- 1 Week Away From the NFL Draft Combine
- The original
- Hear the original
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- SaidFeb 19
- GradedAug 13
- 1Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart“Willis is gonna walk in as the anointed starter somewhere because I think the market's gonna dictate that.”
- 2Isaiah Likely to record 75 receptions“I think you're talking about a guy who's probably catching, you know, over 75 balls, probably getting close to, you know, seven touchdowns.”
- 3Isaiah Likely to record 7 receiving tds“probably getting close to, you know, seven touchdowns”
- 4Kyler Murray to move to Arizona Cardinals“Kyler Murray is most likely to get released. So Kyler Murray getting released, I don't think that he will be at the very top of the free agent market”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 91.67 | 100 | −8.33 | |
| Isaiah Likely to record 75 receptions2 | Player Season Numbers | 27 | 0 | 64.42 | −64.42 | |
| Isaiah Likely to record 7 receiving tds3 | Player Season Numbers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kyler Murray to move to Arizona Cardinals4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 30.6 | 54.8 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 30.6 out of 100, against 54.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Depth Chart CallsMalik Willis
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 10091.67this call−100a naive guess=−8.33worse than naive×1difficulty=−8.33skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- −8.33
- player:
- Malik Willis
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Player Season NumbersIsaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely to record 75 receptions
What happened27called 750Miss · naive 64.420this call−64.42a naive guess=−64.42worse than naive×1difficulty=−64.42skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 32.84
- skill:
- −64.42
- what happened:
- 27
- player:
- Isaiah Likely
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 64.42
- they said:
- 75
- statistic:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 42
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 23.69
- zero at percent out:
- 50
3Player Season NumbersIsaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely to record 7 receiving tds
What happened1called 70Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 4.53
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 1
- player:
- Isaiah Likely
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 7
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 6
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 3.07
- zero at percent out:
- 50
4Trade and Signing CallsKyler MurrayArizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray to move to Arizona Cardinals
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
30.6naive 54.8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jesse Holley · Game Outcome Picks · Arizona Cardinals · Hit 100
Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams.Garrett Podell · Game Outcome Picks · Arizona Cardinals · Miss 0
For Week 7 of the 2026 season, Podell predicts Daniel Jones plays a clean, turnover-free game against Minnesota's top-ranked defense, Bijan Robinson rushes for 150-plus yards against the undefeated 49ers, and the Cardinals upset the Broncos at home without scoring a touchdown.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Arizona Cardinals · Miss 0
In his Week 7 upset alert column, Sullivan expects the Cardinals to score in the low-to-mid 20s and beat the visiting Broncos, whose offense he views as broken under Bo Nix. He also suggests Sam Darnold's turnovers will let the Chiefs win in Seattle and remain undefeated.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Arizona Cardinals · Miss 24
Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 7 NFL game, including a comfortable Vikings home win over the Colts, a Jets win over the winless Dolphins, a Browns road win in Tennessee, another Cardinals upset over Denver, and a Bengals win in Baltimore.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Andrew Erickson · Player Season Numbers · James Cook · Close 67
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.Ross Jackson · Player Season Numbers · Tyler Shough · Miss 4
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Broussard · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 92
Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 84
Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.