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Joe Marino#2 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 23, 2026

Marino argued Kyle Pitts deserves more respect after a good season and expects their touchdown total to keep rising, landing on six touchdowns next season (following the pattern of their yearly totals).

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

67Close · out of 100
5What happenedcalled 6
41.33A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
66.67This callout of 100
#2Joe Marino’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Joe Marino said

I think it's more touchdowns, though.
Our reading: Kyle Pitts to record 6 receiving tds
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
BILLS SQUAD SHOW: Pre-Combine WISH LIST, Bills to hunt EDGE, LB, WR
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 23
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 66.7 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

receiving tds
6They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Player Season NumbersKyle PittsAtlanta Falcons

    Kyle Pitts to record 6 receiving tds

    What happened5called 6
    66.67Close · naive 41.33
    66.67this call41.33a naive guess25.34better than naive1difficulty+25.33skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    3.53
    skill:
    25.33
    what happened:
    5
    player:
    Kyle Pitts
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    41.33
    they said:
    6
    statistic:
    receiving_tds
    difficulty:
    1
    last season:
    4
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    position average:
    3.07
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.