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Cody KesslerApr 22, 2025

Kessler predicts Tennessee takes Cam Ward first overall, Cleveland takes Travis Hunter second, and Pittsburgh drafts Jackson Dart at No. 21; they also think Jalen Milroe will still be on the board at pick 34 with no other first-round team taking a quarterback.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
94.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Cody Kessler said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think they draft Dart at twenty one, get their quarterback of the future for their franchise and move on.
Cody Kessler, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: QB Intrigue in NFL Draft, Top 150 Prospects, Angry Runs WATCH LIST
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 22, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“They view him as the best available after Tennessee takes cam Ward with a number one pick.”
  2. 2Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21“I think they draft Dart at twenty one, get their quarterback of the future for their franchise and move on.”
  3. 3Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2“it is now a surefire thing that the Cleveland Browns are going to draft Travis Hunter with that second overball pick”
  4. 4Jalen Milroe to be picked “still be there at thirty four”“But I think he'll still be there at thirty four after twenty one with the Pittsburgh Steelers. No other team in the first round is going to draft a quarterback.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cam Ward to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+50
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 212Mock Draft PicksWent 2584.0950+50
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 23Mock Draft PicksWent 210050+50
Jalen Milroe to be picked “still be there at thirty four”4Mock Draft Picks————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting94.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 94.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJaxson DartPittsburgh Steelers

    Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21

    What happenedWent 25mocked at 21
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterCleveland Browns

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 2
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksJalen Milroe

    Jalen Milroe to be picked “still be there at thirty four”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    94.7naive 50

Who this take is about

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