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Jose SanchezOct 24, 2026

Sanchez predicts the Falcons will beat the 49ers in Week 7 on the road, handing San Francisco its first loss of the season, citing rest, travel and a depleted receiving corps. They also expect the 49ers to remain a top team in the NFC and their division despite the defeat.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Falcons 29–20What happened49ers at Falcons
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Jose Sanchez said

In fact, I think that the 49ers will lose to the Falcons in Week 7 and suffer their first defeat of the year.
Our reading: Atlanta Falcons to beat San Francisco 49ers
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Why the 49ers Will Lose to the Falcons in Week 7
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 24
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons to beat San Francisco 49ers

    What happenedFalcons 29–2049ers at Falcons
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 42%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?

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