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Andrew Erickson#30 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 18, 2025

Erickson predicted the Chiefs could lose outright at Tennessee in a flat spot, with Tony Pollard finishing as a top-24 running back for a third straight week; they also called Darren Waller a likely TE1 in Week 16, Tetairoa McMillan a top-20 receiver against Tampa Bay, Omarion Hampton the week's RB1, Isaiah Likely a top-12 tight end in a Patriots win over the Ravens, and Audric Estime a smash flex play for the Saints.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#30Andrew Erickson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Andrew Erickson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So I think that the Chiefs could lose outright to the Titans
Andrew Erickson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode
FantasyPros - Top 10 Fantasy Football Predictions & Prop Bets for Week 16 (Ep. 1903)
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Tennessee Titans to beat Chiefs“So I think that the Chiefs could lose outright to the Titans”
  2. 2New England Patriots to beat Ravens“Patriots are gonna win this game, obviously, so that'll be my part one of my prediction.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tennessee Titans to beat Chiefs1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
New England Patriots to beat Ravens2Game Outcome Picks—1000+117
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to beat Chiefs

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.17difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Dec 21): Chiefs by 3.5 · underdog pick, Titans 38%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    TEN
    score:
    9-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat Ravens

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.17difficulty+117skill

    Closing line (Dec 21): Ravens by 3.5 · underdog pick, Patriots 38%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    28-24
    skill:
    117
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

Who this take is about

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