Andrew Erickson· Dec 18, 2025
Erickson predicted the Chiefs could lose outright at Tennessee in a flat spot, with Tony Pollard finishing as a top-24 running back for a third straight week; he also called Darren Waller a likely TE1 in Week 16, Tetairoa McMillan a top-20 receiver against Tampa Bay, Omarion Hampton the week's RB1, Isaiah Likely a top-12 tight end in a Patriots win over the Ravens, and Audric Estime a smash flex play for the Saints.
“So I think that the Chiefs could lose outright to the Titans”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes, 2 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 48.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Omarion Hampton to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“Omaron Hampton RB one, Sison... I feel much better about this one for Omary and Hampton facing the Dallas Cowboys.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at RB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 39
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Positional FinishesTony PollardTennessee TitansDec 18, 2025
Tony Pollard to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think Tony Pollard could kind of have another solid game like top twenty four running back two straight weeks. I think this is gonna be the third week in a row he can be a top twenty four guy.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tony Pollard
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 22
- actual finish:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- predicted finish:
- 24
- Game Outcome PicksTennessee TitansDec 18, 2025
Tennessee Titans to beat Chiefs
“So I think that the Chiefs could lose outright to the Titans”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TEN
- score:
- 9-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Depth Chart CallsAudric EstiméNew Orleans SaintsDec 18, 2025
Audric Estimé to be 1st on the depth chart
“there's a chance that he is the RB one for the New Orleans Saints this week. So this obviously comes with a caveat at Devin Neil Alvin Kamara don't play”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-19.5 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NO
- skill:
- -19.5
- player:
- Audric Estimé
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Positional FinishesIsaiah LikelyBaltimore RavensDec 18, 2025
Isaiah Likely to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think he's going to finish as a top twelve option in Week sixteen”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Isaiah Likely
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 13
- actual finish:
- 50
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- predicted finish:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsDec 18, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Ravens
“Patriots are gonna win this game, obviously, so that'll be my part one of my prediction.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 28-24
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- David DroegemeierTrade and Signing Calls · Mekhi BectonHit · 100Drogemeier says the Chargers cutting Mekhi Becton is a foregone conclusion, freeing nearly $9 million in cap space, and only a matter of when.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.