Tom Pelissero· Apr 18, 2025
Pelissero says Cam Ward remains the presumptive No. 1 overall pick, expects Cleveland not to trade Travis Hunter at No. 2, believes Jalen Milroe goes sooner rather than later, and thinks Tyler Shough could be pushed into the first round. He also expects at least one star player (Ramsey, Aiyuk, Hendrickson or Cousins) to be traded around the draft.
“Cam Ward remains the presumptive number one overall pick.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 2 trade and signing calls and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 85.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksCam WardApr 18, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“there's certainly gonna be one quarterback on because Cam Ward remains the presumptive number one overall pick”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksTyler ShoughApr 18, 2025
Tyler Shough to be picked “first round surprise” (picks 1–32)
“I had him on my potential first surprise first round surprise list that I published on nfl.com yesterday. I think there's a real possibility that guy could get pushed up.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyler Shough
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- first round surprise (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Trade and Signing CallsJalen RamseyApr 18, 2025
Jalen Ramsey to move
“I'd say there's a pretty decent chance that one or more of those players, maybe even somebody we're not thinking about, end up getting Delta in the draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Travis Hunter to move to Cleveland Browns
“That should be a pretty clear indication that Cleveland, barring the unforeseen, is not gonna let that guy go.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Order CallsJalen MilroeApr 18, 2025
Jalen Milroe to be He could go all the way up to the middle of the first ... I tend to believe he goes sooner than later quarterback off the board
“He could go all the way up to the middle of the first, Rich. He could go somewhere toward the the middle to bottom of the second round. I tend to believe he goes sooner than later just because the run ability is so dynamic”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksCarson SchwesingerApr 18, 2025
Carson Schwesinger to be picked “could go in the first”
“Carton Schwesen Carson Schwesinger, who hasn't been in any mock drafts, could go in the first.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsHit · 100Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston.
- Nick PedoneRoster Spot Calls · Isaiah BondHit · 100Previewing the Browns' preseason finale, Pedone says five receivers — Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace — are very likely to make Cleveland's 53-man roster, leaving one final spot open for Luke Floriea and others.
- Doug JoubertRoster Spot Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Joubert projects the Saints' 53-man roster ahead of the cutdown deadline, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, plus several players he expects to receive PUP/IR designations, and predicting Torricelli Simpkins will later be moved to the practice squad.
- Nick PedoneRoster Spot Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100Reading the Browns' first depth chart, Pedone projects Deshaun Watson as the Week 1 starting quarterback, lays out the full projected starting offensive line with Parker Brailsford as backup center, expects KT Leveston to make the roster as guard depth, and names Jeudy, Concepcion, Boston and Bond as roster locks with Tylan Wallace as the fifth receiver.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Carsen RyanHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Jacob RichardRoster Spot Calls · Deshaun WatsonMiss · 0Richard predicts the Browns will keep Deshaun Watson as their starter through the season, that Shedeur Sanders will get a handful of starts, and that Dillon Gabriel is the most likely of the four quarterbacks to be moved off the roster.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.