Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 18, 2025
Pelissero says Cam Ward remains the presumptive No. 1 overall pick, expects Cleveland not to trade Travis Hunter at No. 2, believes Jalen Milroe goes sooner rather than later, and thinks Tyler Shough could be pushed into the first round. They also expect at least one star player (Ramsey, Aiyuk, Hendrickson or Cousins) to be traded around the draft.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Tom Pelissero said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromCam Ward remains the presumptive number one overall pick.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Top 5 Things Rich Wants To See At The NFL Draft But Won't Happen
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 18, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“there's certainly gonna be one quarterback on because Cam Ward remains the presumptive number one overall pick”
- 2Tyler Shough to be picked “first round surprise” (picks 1–32)“I had him on my potential first surprise first round surprise list that I published on nfl.com yesterday. I think there's a real possibility that guy could get pushed up.”
- 3Travis Hunter to move to Cleveland Browns“That should be a pretty clear indication that Cleveland, barring the unforeseen, is not gonna let that guy go.”
- 4Carson Schwesinger to be picked “could go in the first”“Carton Schwesen Carson Schwesinger, who hasn't been in any mock drafts, could go in the first.”
- 5Jalen Milroe to be He could go all the way up to the middle of the first ... I tend to believe he goes sooner than later quarterback off the board“He could go all the way up to the middle of the first, Rich. He could go somewhere toward the the middle to bottom of the second round. I tend to believe he goes sooner than later just because the run ability is so dynamic”
- 6Jalen Ramsey to move“I'd say there's a pretty decent chance that one or more of those players, maybe even somebody we're not thinking about, end up getting Delta in the draft.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward to be picked at number 11 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Tyler Shough to be picked “first round surprise” (picks 1–32)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 40 | 70.71 | 50 | — | |
| Travis Hunter to move to Cleveland Browns3 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Carson Schwesinger to be picked “could go in the first”4 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Jalen Milroe to be He could go all the way up to the middle of the first ... I tend to believe he goes sooner than later quarterback off the board5 | Position Order Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jalen Ramsey to move6 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 4 waiting | 85.4 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive6 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 2 trade and signing calls and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 85.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Tyler Shough to be picked “first round surprise” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 4070.71Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyler Shough
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- first round surprise (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Trade and Signing CallsTravis HunterCleveland Browns
Travis Hunter to move to Cleveland Browns
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Mock Draft PicksCarson Schwesinger
Carson Schwesinger to be picked “could go in the first”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Position Order CallsJalen Milroe
Jalen Milroe to be He could go all the way up to the middle of the first ... I tend to believe he goes sooner than later quarterback off the board
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Trade and Signing CallsJalen Ramsey
Jalen Ramsey to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
85.4naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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