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Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 8, 2026

Derek Brown made picks 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27 and 30 in the 2026 mock, and also called Kenyon Sadiq the clear TE1 of the class, Carnell Tate their runaway WR1 and KC Concepcion a top-three receiver.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 13calls landed5 hits · 6 close calls · 2 misses · all settled
71.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 13 calls
41.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
13 of 13Settlednone still waiting
#12Derek Brown’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Derek Brown said

Kenyon sadik Tight end out Of oregon after his amazing combine.
Derek Brown, the lead quote
The episode
FantasyPros - 2026 NFL First Round Mock Draft 3.0 | Every First Round Pick After The Combine (Ep. 1973)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 8
  2. GradedAug 7–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks3520
Position Order Calls2100
All5620

How each call scored

13 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks and 3 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 71.5 out of 100, against 41.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
30They said
60What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks3 hits · 5 close calls · 2 missesShow ▸
  1. Anthony Hill to be picked at number 30

    “denver broncos one of them at, Number Thirty... anthony hill Linebacker From texas”

    Anthony HillDenver Broncos

    Went 60mocked at 30
    27.26Miss

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Anthony Hill
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    27.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    60
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    27.26
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    “number six, here The Cleveland browns are up... let's give him for incess mino offensive tackle out Of miami”

    Francis MauigoaCleveland Browns

    Went 10mocked at 6
    84.09Hit

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 9

    “number Nine, Here Kansadity chiefs are on the clock... The Kansas City chiefs Draft Kenyon sadik Tight end out Of oregon”

    Kenyon SadiqKansas City Chiefs

    Went 16mocked at 9
    73.84Close

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Cashius Howell to be picked at number 15

    “The Tampa Bay buccaneers And derek Brown... Casius howel edge out Of TEXAS a AND m”

    Cashius HowellTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Went 41mocked at 15
    32.42Miss

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    32.42
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    32.42
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 12

    “The Dallas cowboys at Twelve... Mancer, delane come on down cornerback out Of lshue”

    Mansoor DelaneDallas Cowboys

    Went 6mocked at 12
    77.11Close

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    “the number three overall pick that is held... by the Arizona Cardinals... the upside swing here for with Oliver rvil Reese, linebacker out of Ohio State”

    Arvell ReeseArizona Cardinals

    Went 5mocked at 3
    91.7Hit

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Denzel Boston to be picked at number 21

    “Twenty one That's The Pittsburgh Steelers... denzel boston wide receiver Out OF washington”

    Denzel BostonPittsburgh Steelers

    Went 39mocked at 21
    45.85Close

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    45.85
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    45.85
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  8. K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24

    “number twenty four... The Cleveland browns... casey conceptsi one wide receiver Out OF texas A AND M”

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    Went 24mocked at 24
    100Hit

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18

    “Eighteen The minnesota vikings... let's give Him safety dylandnaman Out of oregon”

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    Went 25mocked at 18
    73.84Close

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 27

    “twenty Seven The san francisco Forty nine Ers And Derek Brown... caden proctor offensive tackle Out of alabama”

    Kadyn ProctorSan Francisco 49ers

    Went 12mocked at 27
    52.21Close

    mock order 83.03 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.03 × 1 difficulty = +33.03 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.03
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.03
    Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls2 hits · 1 close callShow ▸
  1. K.C. Concepcion to be a top three wide receiver in this class wide receiver off the board

    “i'm gonna say he's a top three wide receiver in This Class”

    K.C. Concepcion

    70.71Close

    70.71 − 17 naive = 53.71 × 1 difficulty = +53.71 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 17
    skill:
    53.71
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    17
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    4
    predicted order:
    1–3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board

    “he's a three down tight end, easily runaway tight end one of this class”

    Kenyon Sadiq

    100Hit

    100 − 15.51 naive = 84.49 × 1 difficulty = +84.49 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
    skill:
    84.49
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    15.51
    position:
    tight end
    class size:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board

    “he's my clear runaway wide receiver one he's in a tier by Himself”

    Carnell Tate

    100Hit

    100 − 9.48 naive = 90.52 × 1 difficulty = +90.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
    skill:
    90.52
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    9.48
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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