Todd McShay· Nov 1, 2026
McShay argued that the much-criticized college quarterback class will produce NFL talent, saying Arch Manning, Sam Leavitt and LaNorris Sellers would all be first-round picks if they declared, and that Nico Iamaleava would likely go late in the first round.
“I promise you if Arch comes out, he's gonna be a first round pick.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The McShay Show (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksArch ManningNov 1, 2026
Arch Manning to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“Because I promise you if Arch comes out, he's gonna be a first round pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksSam LeavittNov 1, 2026
Sam Leavitt to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“I promise you if Sam Levitt could decided to come out this year even though it's not the best thing for him. My point. He's a first round pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksLaNorris SellersNov 1, 2026
LaNorris Sellers to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“I promise you if Lenora Sellers comes out this year, he's a first round pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksNico IamaleavaNov 1, 2026
Nico Iamaleava to be picked “probably going late one”
“I promise you if Nico Iamaly Ava decided to come out this year, he's probably going late one because he's too talented not to.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2.
- Chris BrockmanMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning.
- Jason McIntyreMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick.
- Brady QuinnMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. He also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if he comes out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if he has the year Quinn expects.
- Charlie CampbellMock Draft Picks · LaNorris SellersPendingIn his 2027 NFL Mock Draft, Campbell projects the second round (picks 33-64), naming a specific prospect for each selection, including Duce Robinson to Miami at 35 and LaNorris Sellers to Minnesota at 64.
- Steve MuenchMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningPendingMuench suggested that Texas quarterback Arch Manning and Ole Miss quarterback Austin Simmons could both end up as first-round NFL draft picks.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsMock Draft Picks · Malachi CorleyMiss · 11Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
- Philip HughesMock Draft Picks · Kyle KennardMiss · 34Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected him as a Day 2 selection.
- Blaine GrisakMock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr.Hit · 84Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of his own from the 2024 pre-draft period, he suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.
- Charlie CampbellMock Draft Picks · Xavier WilliamsMiss · 0Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if he declares.
- WaltMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in his 2026 mock draft.
- Charlie CampbellMock Draft Picks · Xavier WilliamsMiss · 0Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick.