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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 7, 2025

Cowherd said Denver will not hold the AFC's No. 1 seed, and expects the Bears to sneak into the NFC playoffs as a wild card supplanting San Francisco while not winning their division.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Made the playoffsWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

I buy AFC nonsense that Denver can't end up a number one seed.
Our reading: Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Colin's Blazing 5 NFL picks, the best QBs from the 2024 draft, Mike Sando
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidNov 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Playoff PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.5difficulty+150skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    150
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?

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