John ShipleyOct 26, 2026
Shipley argues the Jaguars have an easy second-half slate and names several remaining opponents as very winnable games, while framing 13 wins as the number that would clinch the AFC South.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What John Shipley said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe Jaguars have one of the NFL's easier schedules over the next 11 weeks
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Jaguars Know The Magic Number in the AFC South, and Now They Can Make Their Run
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 26
- PlayedNov 5
- GradedNov 6
- 1Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore Ravens“some other very winnable games against the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens, New York Giants, and the Pittsburgh Steelers”
- 2Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Dallas Cowboys“some other very winnable games against the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens, New York Giants, and the Pittsburgh Steelers”
- 3Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New York Giants“some other very winnable games against the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens, New York Giants, and the Pittsburgh Steelers”
- 4Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Pittsburgh Steelers“some other very winnable games against the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens, New York Giants, and the Pittsburgh Steelers”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore Ravens1 | Game Outcome Picks | Jaguars 33–10 | 100 | 0 | +167 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Dallas Cowboys2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New York Giants3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Pittsburgh Steelers4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 3 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore Ravens
What happenedJaguars 33–10Jaguars at Ravens100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.67difficulty=+167skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 33-10
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
2Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Dallas Cowboys
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New York Giants
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once they report, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 83
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Mark Morales-Smith · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, they state that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.