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Christopher Mad Dog RussoFeb 12, 2025

Russo argued Jalen Hurts belongs in the top five quarterbacks in the NFL, behind only Burrow, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Mahomes.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Finished #20What happenedcalled #5 · by passing yards
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−50Skillafter difficulty

What Christopher Mad Dog Russo said

You can make an argument right now that he cracks the top five in the league.
Our reading: Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
The episode
Rich's Way Too Early NFL 2025 Season Power Rankings
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
5They said
20What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Positional FinishesJalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #20called #5 · by passing yards
    0Miss · naive 50
    0this call50a naive guess−50worse than naive1difficulty−50skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −50
    player:
    Jalen Hurts
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    14
    actual finish:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    5
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.