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Lance Zierlein#11 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 1, 2025

Zierlein said Kansas State's Jacob Parrish helped themselves with their testing and will be a second-round cornerback, put South Carolina safety Nick Emnori inside the top 16 after their workout, pegged Mason Taylor as the third tight end off the board and possibly a first-rounder, and called Alabama's Robbie Oots a future NFL fullback who will be on a roster.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 waiting
69Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
42.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 5Settled2 still waiting
#11Lance Zierlein’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Lance Zierlein said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He'll be a second round cornerback in this draft.
Lance Zierlein, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
2025 NFL Combine Recap: DBs & TEs
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 1, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Jacob Parrish to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)“He is a guy who is going to move up. He'll be a second round cornerback in this draft.”
  2. 2Mason Taylor to be 3rd tight end off the board“I know that I think Mason Taylor will probably be the third guy off... I think Mason Taylor's a third”
  3. 3Mason Taylor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“it wouldn't shock me if maybe a sneaky third tight end got into the first round. Yeah, with Mason Taylor”
  4. 4Nick Emmanwori to be picked “inside the top sixteen”“he can't get past the middle of the draft, Like it's just he's not getting to the second held... But now this is one of these things where he's inside the top sixteen to me.”
  5. 5Robbie Ouzts: a roster call with no direction stated“Now he is an NFL fallback. He'll be he'll be on a team, and he'll probably get pretty good reps as an NFL fullback.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jacob Parrish to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)1Mock Draft PicksWent 8442.0450—
Mason Taylor to be 3rd tight end off the board2Position Order Calls—10028.72+71.28
Mason Taylor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)3Mock Draft PicksWent 4264.8450—
Nick Emmanwori to be picked “inside the top sixteen”4Mock Draft Picks————
Robbie Ouzts: a roster call with no direction stated5Roster Spot Calls————
5 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 waiting6942.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 69 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
second round (picks 33–64)They said
84What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJacob Parrish

    Jacob Parrish to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 84
    42.04Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jacob Parrish
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    84
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsMason Taylor

    Mason Taylor to be 3rd tight end off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 28.72
    100this call28.72a naive guess71.28better than naive1difficulty+71.28skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 16 at random averages 28.72
    skill:
    71.28
    player:
    Mason Taylor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    28.72
    position:
    tight end
    class size:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    3
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksMason Taylor

    Mason Taylor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 42
    64.84Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Mason Taylor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    42
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksNick Emmanwori

    Nick Emmanwori to be picked “inside the top sixteen”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Roster Spot CallsRobbie Ouzts

    Robbie Ouzts: a roster call with no direction stated

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    69naive 42.9

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